Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Heracles Almelo
Utrecht
15.8%
64.0%
20.2%
+605
-220

0.93
2.08
3.01
o3+104
u3-118

Games for Feb 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Twente
Excelsior
65.9%
14.0%
20.1%
-150
+465
-160
+450
3
0
-0.53208-0.53464-0.41740
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk
29.0%
44.4%
26.6%
+131
+216
+130
+195
0
2
-1.18035-1.13206-0.81274
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam
17.8%
60.5%
21.7%
+368
-119
+320
-115
2
0
-1.57022-1.48457-1.72704
Volendam
Utrecht
9.2%
75.1%
15.7%
+995
-348
+950
-350
2
4
-0.29202-0.30011-0.28662
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
42.5%
31.6%
25.9%
-162
+454
-165
+435
1
0
-0.51323-0.52307-0.85670
Go Ahead Eagles
Vitesse
31.8%
41.8%
26.4%
+147
+204
+145
+185
2
0
-0.93603-0.94788-1.25836
Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
20.8%
55.3%
23.9%
+467
-173
+450
-175
1
3
-0.49184-0.50149-0.59173
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
43.9%
30.9%
25.2%
+101
+242
-105
+225
1
1
-1.47181-1.51873-1.37972
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
30.6%
43.5%
25.9%
+257
+126
+235
+125
3
3
-1.21922-1.22806-1.34946
RKC Waalwijk
Twente
9.6%
74.6%
15.7%
+1100
-375
+1025
-425
0
3
-0.26503-0.26004-0.29255
Excelsior
Almere City
19.5%
56.2%
24.3%
+255
+115
+250
+110
1
2
-0.80392-0.80060-0.57611
Fortuna Sittard
Volendam
46.9%
27.1%
26.0%
+110
+276
+105
+265
1
0
-0.76863-0.76819-0.75670
Twente
Feyenoord
19.4%
58.7%
21.9%
+608
-214
+680
-260
0
0
-1.59430-1.65863-1.51905
NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles
26.1%
48.2%
25.6%
+229
+118
+225
+110
2
2
-1.34075-1.37105-1.36082
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
49.6%
25.7%
24.7%
+112
+244
+115
+220
2
2
-1.34048-1.34504-1.39792
Ajax
Heracles Almelo
58.3%
19.3%
22.4%
-166
+429
-180
+430
4
2
-0.50154-0.48960-0.53976
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.