Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
39.9%
31.8%
28.4%
+148
+178

1
2
-1.06997-1.14681
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
24.5%
52.3%
23.2%
+260
-106

1
1
-1.38898-1.46016
Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
29.4%
45.7%
24.9%
+215
+120

2
3
-0.84077-0.78329
PSV Eindhoven
Go Ahead Eagles
57.1%
21.4%
21.5%
-108
+220

4
1
-0.71771-0.56009
RKC Waalwijk
Willem II
30.7%
43.0%
26.3%
+265
-107

1
1
-1.35759-1.33747
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
27.7%
47.0%
25.3%
+180
+140

2
2
-1.34140-1.37595
Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
26.5%
48.3%
25.2%
+235
+106

2
2
-1.35104-1.37948
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
67.9%
13.8%
18.3%
-159
+395

2
1
-0.54053-0.38766
Heerenveen
Volendam
58.5%
18.9%
22.6%
+118
+205

2
0
-0.83462-0.53630
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
11.3%
69.6%
19.1%
+425
-185

1
1
-1.59008-1.65763
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
43.6%
31.4%
24.9%
+156
+144

2
2
-1.42599-1.38950
Excelsior
Groningen
17.4%
59.7%
22.9%
+360
-134

3
2
-1.57465-1.74784
NAC Breda
Utrecht
9.8%
76.1%
14.0%
+360
-139

0
2
-0.59281-0.27274
Volendam
Heracles Almelo
30.5%
44.8%
24.7%
+200
+119

2
0
-1.15709-1.18715
Utrecht
Excelsior
42.9%
30.8%
26.2%
+124
+225

0
5
-1.22578-1.17681
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
27.9%
47.3%
24.8%
+395
-161

1
1
-1.49969-1.39477
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.