Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedGroningen
Ajax 		15.3%
64.7%		20.0%
+255
-102

0.91
2.09		3.00
o2¾-108
u2¾-105

Games for Nov 29, 2025
Games for Dec 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heerenveen
Zwolle		50.8%
25.1%		24.1%
-113
+295

1
2		-1.41952-1.38238
Zwolle
Groningen		17.7%
60.6%		21.7%
+625
-227

2
2		-1.57436-1.52767
Utrecht
Telstar		44.2%
28.7%		27.1%
-107
+270

1
1		-1.36422-1.30542
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord		11.6%
71.1%		17.3%
+550
-240

4
2		-1.92607-2.15805
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen		45.6%
29.1%		25.3%
+149
+160

1
3		-1.00370-1.23423
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam		15.2%
65.0%		19.7%
+310
-111

1
1		-1.30697-1.62303
Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles Almelo		43.7%
30.2%		26.0%
+160
+158

2
4		-0.99658-1.19584
Twente
Volendam		62.8%
16.0%		21.3%
-135
+355

1
1		-1.40064-1.54872
Excelsior
Ajax		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+725
-333

2
1		-2.17103-2.34800
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda		78.8%
8.6%		12.6%
-357
+720

1
0		-0.30817-0.23854
Feyenoord
Go Ahead Eagles		51.4%
24.6%		24.0%
-180
+525

1
2		-1.83152-1.40352
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar		42.9%
31.8%		25.3%
+114
+250

5
1		-0.75186-0.84618
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen		20.1%
55.9%		23.9%
+268
+102

0
2		-0.73948-0.58105
Ajax
Utrecht		36.9%
36.5%		26.6%
+149
+178

1
2		-1.05426-1.00816
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle		33.9%
39.1%		26.9%
+160
+165

0
1		-1.01280-0.93818
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard		40.0%
33.6%		26.4%
+131
+204

0
2		-1.14347-1.09005
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.14417 
Sportsbooks40-0-2 (0.750)4 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.02332
0.12085

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.