Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heracles Almelo
Excelsior		26.3%
47.2%		26.5%
+358
-139
+340
-140
0
4		-0.56634-0.58927-0.75171
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles		53.3%
23.0%		23.6%
-146
+380
-155
+375
3
0		-0.55040-0.55012-0.62843
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht		21.8%
55.0%		23.3%
+319
-119
+330
-135
1
0		-1.46547-1.51113-1.52478
Almere City
Ajax		9.7%
73.9%		16.4%
+1000
-400
+1050
-450
0
3		-0.27159-0.25156-0.30248
Vitesse
Heerenveen		12.5%
69.5%		18.0%
+420
-157
+380
-170
3
1		-1.66903-1.62030-2.08000
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen		66.6%
14.1%		19.3%
-137
+355
-150
+360
3
2		-0.57544-0.56217-0.40653
Zwolle
RKC Waalwijk		21.5%
55.2%		23.3%
+397
-159
+395
-170
1
1		-1.55637-1.56528-1.45620
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior		40.1%
31.4%		28.5%
+210
+129
+190
+125
3
0		-1.16264-1.11581-0.91409
Zwolle
Feyenoord		3.9%
87.2%		8.8%
+2087
-981
+2000
-1150
0
5		-0.13191-0.13307-0.13669
Twente
AZ Alkmaar		27.9%
46.7%		25.4%
+251
+125
+230
+120
1
2		-0.82830-0.83884-0.76228
Ajax
Volendam		75.3%
8.9%		15.7%
-351
+890
-360
+800
4
1		-0.27258-0.29389-0.28345
Vitesse
Utrecht		12.8%
69.5%		17.7%
+942
-351
+875
-370
0
1		-0.28072-0.29030-0.36455
RKC Waalwijk
Heracles Almelo		27.1%
47.0%		25.9%
+196
+133
+200
+120
5
0		-1.11158-1.14841-1.30427
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven		5.0%
85.0%		10.0%
+1642
-714
+1640
-800
2
4		-0.16486-0.16864-0.16217
Heerenveen
Almere City		39.8%
32.2%		28.0%
+145
+187
+145
+180
1
1		-1.31472-1.30254-1.27357
Go Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard		23.1%
53.5%		23.4%
+195
+140
+180
+140
0
0		-1.32392-1.33124-1.45128
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.