Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 20, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Heerenveen
Vitesse
19.2%
58.3%
22.4%
+299
-109

0.96
1.86
2.82
o2½-135
u2¾-115

Cambuur
Fortuna Sittard
25.2%
53.0%
21.8%
+192
+135

1.30
1.98
3.28
o3+106
u3-122

Utrecht
Emmen
39.2%
34.3%
26.4%
+119
+235

1.34
1.24
2.58
o2½-125
u2¾-118

Games for Aug 19, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
RKC Waalwijk
Emmen
23.6%
52.0%
24.3%
+333
-106
+300
-110
1
1
-1.33385-1.33124-1.41490
PSV Eindhoven
Go Ahead Eagles
56.6%
21.0%
22.4%
-199
+663
-215
+560
5
2
-0.40825-0.43211-0.56890
Vitesse
Excelsior
40.4%
31.9%
27.8%
+100
+295
-110
+265
1
3
-1.36783-1.34442-1.14360
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
8.7%
76.4%
14.9%
+749
-244
+700
-250
0
2
-0.38041-0.38722-0.26895
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
50.9%
24.6%
24.4%
+129
+218
+115
+235
1
0
-0.86086-0.81362-0.67489
Feyenoord
Vitesse
48.4%
26.6%
24.9%
+100
+267
-125
+305
5
2
-0.72817-0.63892-0.72495
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 08/15/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (2-0-0, 6 pts)22.25.16.773.476.3%90.9%2.6%0.0%
2PSV Eindhoven (2-0-0, 6 pts)16.98.58.559.36.2%27.0%32.9%0.1%
3Twente (2-0-0, 6 pts)15.010.18.953.91.2%10.6%37.8%0.2%
4Excelsior (2-0-0, 6 pts)11.213.98.942.60.0%0.1%6.7%8.4%
5AZ Alkmaar (2-0-0, 6 pts)17.18.48.659.76.2%26.4%32.1%0.0%
6Feyenoord (1-0-1, 4 pts)17.67.39.161.99.7%41.8%26.6%0.0%
7NEC Nijmegen (1-1-0, 3 pts)9.915.38.938.50.0%0.1%2.8%18.6%
8Utrecht (0-0-2, 2 pts)12.011.110.946.90.2%1.2%16.8%2.2%
9Heerenveen (0-0-2, 2 pts)10.512.610.942.50.0%0.4%7.8%7.8%
10RKC Waalwijk (0-0-2, 2 pts)9.213.910.838.50.0%0.0%2.3%20.7%
11Sparta Rotterdam (0-1-1, 1 pts)9.714.310.139.00.0%0.0%3.3%16.2%
12Cambuur (0-1-1, 1 pts)9.015.49.636.60.0%0.0%1.4%27.0%
13Emmen (0-1-1, 1 pts)9.814.39.939.30.1%0.2%2.4%17.7%
14Volendam (0-1-1, 1 pts)9.314.710.037.90.0%0.1%2.0%21.7%
15Groningen (0-1-1, 1 pts)10.913.010.142.80.1%0.4%7.2%9.1%
16Fortuna Sittard (0-2-0, 0 pts)9.415.78.937.20.0%0.1%2.1%25.1%
17Vitesse (0-2-0, 0 pts)12.012.99.245.10.0%0.6%10.5%3.9%
18Go Ahead Eagles (0-2-0, 0 pts)9.815.29.038.50.0%0.1%2.7%21.3%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.