Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 12, 2023

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Lens 		38.4%
33.1%		28.5%
+244
+119

1.19
1.08		2.27
o2½+105
u2½-122

Arsenal
PSV Eindhoven 		56.5%
21.3%		22.2%
+150
+183

1.90
1.08		2.98
o3+100
u3-117

Galatasaray
FC Copenhagen 		37.3%
34.8%		27.9%
+137
+191

1.21
1.16		2.37
o3+100
u3-117

Benfica
RB Salzburg 		42.4%
32.1%		25.4%
+141
+182

1.48
1.26		2.74
o2¾-112
u2¾+100

Real Madrid
Union Berlin 		51.0%
24.0%		25.0%
-113
+290

1.60
1.01		2.61
o3-112
u3-101

Braga
Napoli 		11.5%
71.3%		17.2%
+548
-206

0.83
2.34		3.17
o3+101
u3-119

Real Sociedad
Inter 		13.2%
67.2%		19.6%
+415
-135

0.79
2.08		2.87
o2½-105
u2½-102

Bayern Munich
Manchester United 		52.4%
24.1%		23.5%
+162
+155

1.76
1.12		2.88
o3-106
u3-104

Games for Dec 11, 2023
Games for Dec 13, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Napoli
Real Madrid		14.0%
66.5%		19.5%
+344
-130
+345
-135
2
4		-0.59869-0.59092-0.40741
Lens
Arsenal		7.8%
78.2%		14.0%
+880
-274
+800
-270
0
6		-0.33420-0.35510-0.24568
Union Berlin
Braga		40.0%
32.8%		27.2%
+281
-105
+285
+105
1
1		-1.37995-1.34565-1.30320
FC Copenhagen
Bayern Munich		2.8%
90.4%		6.8%
+1300
-460
+1200
-500
0
0		-2.05799-2.08056-2.68839
Inter
Benfica		38.8%
33.7%		27.4%
+215
+145
+214
+140
3
3		-1.25372-1.25260-1.29335
RB Salzburg
Real Sociedad		18.1%
60.7%		21.2%
+550
-179
+525
-180
0
0		-1.48620-1.48439-1.55353
PSV Eindhoven
Sevilla		18.2%
60.1%		21.7%
+148
+180
+150
+180
3
2		-0.94274-0.94693-1.70292
Manchester United
Galatasaray		48.0%
26.3%		25.7%
+165
+170
+163
+165
3
3		-1.32618-1.33579-1.35938
RB Leipzig
Manchester City		9.1%
76.2%		14.7%
+900
-324
+900
-335
2
3		-0.29935-0.29869-0.27135
Porto
Barcelona		12.0%
69.5%		18.5%
+660
-222
+610
-220
1
2		-0.40642-0.41629-0.36364
Red Star
Young Boys		34.2%
38.2%		27.5%
+232
+115
+225
+112
0
2		-0.79385-0.79308-0.96105
Newcastle United
Paris Saint-Germain		19.4%
57.9%		22.7%
+417
-154
+405
-155
1
1		-1.48135-1.46885-1.48364
Dortmund
Milan		32.9%
41.4%		25.7%
+273
+105
+265
+105
3
1		-1.33872-1.32984-1.11182
Atletico Madrid
Feyenoord		51.0%
23.7%		25.2%
+180
+160
+185
+155
3
1		-1.05673-1.07969-0.67246
Celtic
Lazio		18.6%
60.0%		21.4%
+465
-162
+450
-160
0
2		-0.51089-0.52579-0.51108
Antwerp
Shakhtar		22.5%
53.3%		24.3%
+295
-107
+285
-105
0
1		-0.69459-0.71037-0.62991
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.