Porto at Arsenal

Updated

Porto

9.9%16.5%73.7%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.37
2Final Score 4

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+450
W 3-5 vs Shakhtar-172
L 1-2 at Barcelona+610
W 0-2 vs Antwerp-315
W 4-1 at Antwerp+100
Arsenal
Money Line
L 0-1 at Porto-157
T 1-1 at PSV Eindhoven+160
W 0-6 vs Lens-270
W 0-2 vs Sevilla-400
W 2-1 at Sevilla-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+1000+966+1000+1050+1031+1050+1050+1090.1
Arsenal-400-343-400-380-357-380-343-325.5
Draw+500+482+500+540+505+540+540+562.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+1125-+950+1050-+1000+1050+1090.1
Arsenal-425--370-450--385-370-325.5
Draw+525-+510+525-+500+525+562.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +1000 to +966
Arsenal ML moved from -370 to -380

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +1075 to +1000
Arsenal ML moved from -425 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+105o3+105o3+103o3+104o3+103o3+105o3+112
Underu3-120u3-123u3-125u3-123u3-120u3-123u3-120u3-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-110o3+105o3-105o3-110o3+105o3+105o3+112
Underu3-115u3-110u3-125u3-115u3-120u3-125u3-110u3-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-105 to u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.42%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 417.43%
Exactly 65.65%
Exactly 80.98%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.79%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.87%
Exactly 72.52%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 047.50%
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 213.16%
Exactly 33.27%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 09.31%
Exactly 122.10%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 320.76%
Exactly 412.32%
Exactly 55.85%
Exactly 62.31%
Exactly 70.79%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.60%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 44.27%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 311.84%
Exactly 51.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 070.84%
Exactly 124.42%
Exactly 24.21%
Exactly 30.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 033.32%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.12%
Exactly 37.37%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals2.60%
Wins by 3+ goals0.50%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals50.64%
Wins by 3+ goals29.01%
Wins by 4+ goals13.94%
Wins by 5+ goals5.68%
Wins by 6+ goals1.97%
Wins by 7+ goals0.57%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Arsenal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Porto
Wins by 1 goal7.18%
Wins by 2 goals2.11%
Wins by 3 goals0.44%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal22.95%
Wins by 2 goals21.63%
Wins by 3 goals15.07%
Wins by 4 goals8.25%
Wins by 5 goals3.71%
Wins by 6 goals1.41%
Wins by 7 goals0.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.58%4.42%
1.581.79%18.21%
2.560.28%39.72%
3.537.93%62.07%
4.520.50%79.50%
5.59.63%90.37%
6.53.98%96.02%
7.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.50%47.50%
1.517.14%82.86%
2.53.98%96.02%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.69%9.31%
1.568.59%31.41%
2.542.35%57.65%
3.521.59%78.41%
4.59.26%90.74%
5.53.41%96.59%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.40%23.60%
1.542.32%57.68%
2.517.72%82.28%
3.55.88%94.12%
4.51.61%98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Arsenal
Score012345
0
4.42%
10.50%
12.46%
9.86%
5.85%
2.78%
1
3.29%
7.82%
9.28%
7.34%
4.36%
2.07%
2
1.23%
2.91%
3.45%
2.73%
1.62%
0.77%
3
0.30%
0.72%
0.86%
0.68%
0.40%
0.19%
Porto
1-03.29%
2-01.23%
2-12.91%
3-00.30%
3-10.72%
3-20.86%
Draw
0-04.42%
1-17.82%
2-23.45%
3-30.68%
Arsenal
0-110.50%
0-212.46%
1-29.28%
0-39.86%
1-37.34%
2-32.73%
0-45.85%
1-44.36%
2-41.62%
3-40.40%
0-52.78%
1-52.07%
2-50.77%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Arsenal
Score012345
0
23.60%
25.94%
14.26%
5.22%
1.44%
0.32%
1
8.14%
8.94%
4.91%
1.80%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.40%
1.54%
0.85%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.16%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-08.14%
2-01.40%
2-11.54%
3-00.16%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-023.60%
1-18.94%
2-20.85%
Arsenal
0-125.94%
0-214.26%
1-24.91%
0-35.22%
1-31.80%
2-30.31%
0-41.44%
1-40.49%
0-50.32%
1-50.11%