Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich 		25.8%
49.9%		24.3%
+188
+141
+180
+140
1.13
1.67		2.80
o2¾-120
u3-129
o3+110
u3-130
Games for Apr 29, 2024
Games for May 1, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arsenal
Porto		52.3%
23.0%		24.7%
-153
+484
-157
+450
0
1		-1.78153-1.74360-1.46911
Barcelona
Napoli		41.1%
31.8%		27.1%
+153
+189
+150
+180
1
1		-1.27737-1.29474-1.30656
Dortmund
PSV Eindhoven		43.0%
32.7%		24.3%
+255
+105
+254
+110
1
1		-1.39614-1.36633-1.41519
Atletico Madrid
Inter		22.1%
52.6%		25.3%
+505
-152
+500
-165
0
1		-0.52081-0.51234-0.64156
Real Sociedad
Paris Saint-Germain		12.7%
68.3%		19.0%
+436
-128
+435
-130
0
2		-0.59829-0.58573-0.38094
Bayern Munich
Lazio		71.9%
11.7%		16.4%
-139
+432
-142
+410
0
1		-1.69331-1.66776-2.14618
Manchester City
FC Copenhagen		83.6%
5.2%		11.1%
-404
+1250
-445
+1200
3
1		-0.24686-0.24346-0.17900
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig		42.0%
31.6%		26.3%
+133
+207
+130
+200
1
0		-0.86379-0.87058-0.86669
Feyenoord
Celtic		34.6%
38.6%		26.8%
+109
+250
+115
+245
1
2		-1.27250-1.25099-0.95249
Milan
Newcastle United		23.0%
52.4%		24.6%
+298
-113
+285
-115
2
1		-1.40548-1.38585-1.47155
Paris Saint-Germain
Dortmund		32.0%
42.7%		25.2%
-124
+295
-125
+280
1
1		-1.51326-1.52657-1.37757
Shakhtar
Porto		10.7%
71.7%		17.7%
+500
-164
+500
-172
3
5		-0.50063-0.49205-0.33332
Lazio
Atletico Madrid		10.7%
71.7%		17.6%
+468
-153
+460
-160
0
2		-0.52736-0.53156-0.33236
Barcelona
Antwerp		75.6%
9.0%		15.4%
-153
+428
-148
+425
2
3		-1.68978-1.68325-2.40895
Young Boys
RB Leipzig		5.5%
83.9%		10.5%
+975
-344
+875
-375
1
2		-0.27660-0.28239-0.17507
Manchester City
Red Star		80.1%
6.6%		13.3%
-151
+430
-158
+550
3
2		-0.53505-0.45198-0.22237
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.