Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aarhus
Nordsjaelland		22.5%
53.7%		23.8%
+295
-109
+265
-110
0
2		-0.67660-0.69631-0.62232
Lyngby
Vejle		26.0%
49.0%		25.0%
+277
+100
+280
-105
0
2		-0.73528-0.71719-0.71353
Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen		17.1%
61.5%		21.4%
+260
+108
+265
+100
1
1		-1.31864-1.33139-1.54136
Aalborg
Viborg		15.1%
64.8%		20.1%
+275
-103
+255
-105
1
3		-0.70913-0.71812-0.43391
Randers
Aarhus		16.9%
61.4%		21.7%
+184
+157
+180
+160
3
1		-1.08276-1.07790-1.77809
Sonderjyske
Silkeborg		12.2%
70.5%		17.3%
+347
-133
+460
-180
0
1		-0.59669-0.49187-0.34967
Brondby
Nordsjaelland		25.9%
50.0%		24.1%
+101
+243
+145
+170
2
2		-1.42271-1.35600-1.42337
Aalborg
Sonderjyske		28.7%
45.3%		26.1%
+185
+161
+195
+135
2
2		-1.26196-1.30177-1.34477
Aarhus
Midtjylland		21.4%
54.6%		24.0%
+325
-120
+275
-120
1
3		-0.63643-0.65786-0.60589
FC Copenhagen
Brondby		39.8%
33.3%		26.9%
+190
+158
+190
+150
3
0		-1.08675-1.11145-0.92176
Viborg
Lyngby		41.0%
31.7%		27.3%
+163
+169
+160
+170
0
0		-1.28978-1.27172-1.29942
Vejle
Silkeborg		13.6%
68.4%		18.0%
+325
-120
+295
-120
1
1		-1.39744-1.42420-1.71674
Nordsjaelland
Randers		43.2%
30.8%		26.0%
+169
+154
+180
+140
2
3		-0.96940-0.92576-1.17811
Vejle
Aalborg		26.4%
48.6%		24.9%
+202
+136
+210
+125
1
0		-1.13737-1.18280-1.33007
Nordsjaelland
Midtjylland		25.3%
50.2%		24.5%
+195
+125
+195
+115
0
5		-0.83790-0.81234-0.68884
FC Copenhagen
Aarhus		43.5%
29.4%		27.1%
+113
+255
+125
+220
3
1		-0.78924-0.86074-0.83241
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.