Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sonderjyske
Viborg		19.0%
58.7%		22.3%
+320
-110
+305
-120
0
1		-0.66937-0.65693-0.53290
Aarhus
FC Copenhagen		9.1%
74.9%		15.9%
+333
-118
+360
-125
3
2		-1.50580-1.57557-2.39163
Viborg
Brondby		10.7%
72.9%		16.4%
+340
-130
+365
-145
2
0		-1.51969-1.58641-2.23596
Midtjylland
Aarhus		32.6%
39.6%		27.7%
+178
+151
+170
+145
0
0		-1.33033-1.35600-1.28367
Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske		60.6%
18.2%		21.2%
+133
+203
+105
+240
2
3		-1.13414-1.27122-1.70567
Silkeborg
Randers		30.6%
43.7%		25.7%
+285
-108
+290
-115
0
1		-0.69535-0.67548-0.82881
Odense
Vejle		40.3%
33.4%		26.4%
+163
+165
+160
+165
0
4		-1.01308-1.02115-1.09772
FC Copenhagen
FC Fredericia		75.7%
8.6%		15.7%
-238
+567
-230
+585
2
0		-0.40344-0.40899-0.27904
Sonderjyske
Midtjylland		9.4%
74.9%		15.7%
+437
-181
+435
-190
2
6		-0.47575-0.47205-0.28902
Brondby
Nordsjaelland		27.1%
48.5%		24.5%
+113
+237
+115
+220
1
0		-0.78176-0.81577-1.30623
FC Fredericia
Silkeborg		10.0%
73.9%		16.2%
+339
-125
+340
-130
2
0		-1.51517-1.52938-2.30699
Viborg
Odense		36.4%
36.0%		27.6%
+199
+129
+240
+100
1
3		-0.86912-0.74560-1.02179
Vejle
FC Copenhagen		3.3%
88.7%		7.9%
+900
-345
+910
-355
0
2		-0.29833-0.29713-0.11975
Randers
Aarhus		18.7%
58.8%		22.6%
+306
-109
+300
-110
2
1		-1.43927-1.43658-1.67847
Silkeborg
Brondby		18.5%
60.7%		20.8%
+385
-146
+380
-145
0
3		-0.55881-0.57346-0.49914
Odense
Midtjylland		10.2%
73.7%		16.1%
+520
-208
+515
-215
3
3		-1.60251-1.62903-1.82449
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.