Swindon Town at Cardiff City

Updated

Swindon Town

27.7%25.5%46.8%
Swindon Town WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.53
1Final Score 2

Cardiff City

Last Games

Swindon Town
Money Line
L 2-4 at Crawley Town+200
L 1-4 at Peterborough United+360
L 0-2 at Walsall+230
L 1-3 at Cambridge United+255
Cardiff City
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Southampton+300
W 0-2 vs Bristol Rovers-115
L 2-5 at Blackburn+275
W 3-1 at Birmingham City+240
W 0-3 vs Colchester United-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
13.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swindon Town+220+481+440+420+459+420+481+469.6
Cardiff City+125-177-205-196-199-196-177-152.8
Draw+253+336+320+315+324+315+336+354.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swindon Town+220---+360-+360+469.6
Cardiff City-110----200--200-152.8
Draw+245---+265-+265+354.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swindon Town: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swindon Town: 50.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swindon Town: 10.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swindon Town ML moved from +430 to +400
Cardiff City ML moved from -189 to -196

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swindon Town: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swindon Town: 40.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swindon Town: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Swindon Town ML
Cardiff City ML moved from -145 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-134o3+105o2½-157o2¾-132o3+100o2¾-132o3+105o2¾-121
Underu2½+114u3-124u2½+130u2¾+112u3-126u2¾+112u2¾+112u2¾+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145---o2½-150-o2½-150o2¾-121
Underu2½+115---u2½+120-u2½+120u2¾+121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.15%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 414.43%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.87%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.61%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Swindon Town
Exactly 032.88%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 220.34%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 42.10%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 021.75%
Exactly 133.18%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 312.87%
Exactly 44.91%
Exactly 51.50%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.49%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swindon Town
Exactly 059.75%
Exactly 130.77%
Exactly 27.92%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 049.35%
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 212.31%
Exactly 32.90%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swindon Town
Wins by 2+ goals10.68%
Wins by 3+ goals3.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals23.50%
Wins by 3+ goals9.36%
Wins by 4+ goals3.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.76%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Swindon Town
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swindon Town
Wins by 1 goal16.90%
Wins by 2 goals7.52%
Wins by 3 goals2.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal23.19%
Wins by 2 goals14.15%
Wins by 3 goals6.36%
Wins by 4 goals2.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.85%7.15%
1.573.98%26.02%
2.549.10%50.90%
3.527.22%72.78%
4.512.80%87.20%
5.55.19%94.81%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Swindon Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.12%32.88%
1.530.54%69.46%
2.510.20%89.80%
3.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.25%21.75%
1.545.07%54.93%
2.519.76%80.24%
3.56.89%93.11%
4.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.51%29.49%
1.534.50%65.50%
2.512.51%87.49%
3.53.56%96.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swindon Town
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
7.15%
10.91%
8.32%
4.23%
1.61%
0.49%
1
7.96%
12.14%
9.26%
4.71%
1.79%
0.55%
2
4.42%
6.75%
5.15%
2.62%
1.00%
0.30%
3
1.64%
2.50%
1.91%
0.97%
0.37%
0.11%
4
0.46%
0.70%
0.53%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.10%
0.15%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Swindon Town
1-07.96%
2-04.42%
2-16.75%
3-01.64%
3-12.50%
3-21.91%
4-00.46%
4-10.70%
4-20.53%
4-30.27%
5-00.10%
5-10.15%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-07.15%
1-112.14%
2-25.15%
3-30.97%
4-40.10%
Cardiff City
0-110.91%
0-28.32%
1-29.26%
0-34.23%
1-34.71%
2-32.62%
0-41.61%
1-41.79%
2-41.00%
3-40.37%
0-50.49%
1-50.55%
2-50.30%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Swindon Town
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
29.49%
20.83%
7.35%
1.73%
0.31%
1
15.18%
10.72%
3.79%
0.89%
0.16%
2
3.91%
2.76%
0.98%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.67%
0.47%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Swindon Town
1-015.18%
2-03.91%
2-12.76%
3-00.67%
3-10.47%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-029.49%
1-110.72%
2-20.98%
Cardiff City
0-120.83%
0-27.35%
1-23.79%
0-31.73%
1-30.89%
2-30.23%
0-40.31%
1-40.16%