Manchester City at Arsenal

Updated

Manchester City

26.0%25.1%48.9%
Manchester City WinDrawArsenal Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.58
2Final Score 0

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Newcastle United-105
W 2-0 at Newcastle United+145
W 0-2 vs Brentford-165
W 3-1 at Swansea City-660
W 2-0 at Huddersfield-725
Arsenal
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Chelsea-135
W 3-2 at Chelsea-110
W 7-8 vs Crystal Palace-195
W 0-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-135
W 2-0 at Port Vale-1600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+200-+205+218+218+218+218+229.1
Arsenal+134-+120+130+130+130+130+138.0
Draw+233-+230+250+250+250+250+262.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+215-+265+210+235+225+235+229.1
Arsenal+130-+115+120+110+125+130+138.0
Draw+235-+230+220+215+235+235+262.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +227 to +218
Arsenal ML moved from +140 to +133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +265 to +220
Arsenal ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-113-o2½-125o2¾-105o2¾-105o2¾-105o2½-125o2¾+104
Underu2½-107-u2½+105u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105-o2½-135o2½-120o2½-105o2½-130o2½-105o2¾+104
Underu2½-115-u2½+115u2½+100u2½-125u2½+110u2½+115u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+100 to o2½-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.97%
Exactly 224.72%
Exactly 414.62%
Exactly 63.46%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.56%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 57.79%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 033.90%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.83%
Exactly 37.15%
Exactly 41.93%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 020.55%
Exactly 132.52%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 313.57%
Exactly 45.37%
Exactly 51.70%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.13%
Exactly 222.16%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 39.11%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 060.60%
Exactly 130.35%
Exactly 27.60%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 048.07%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 212.90%
Exactly 33.15%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals9.78%
Wins by 3+ goals2.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals25.35%
Wins by 3+ goals10.46%
Wins by 4+ goals3.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.98%
Wins by 6+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Arsenal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal16.11%
Wins by 2 goals6.96%
Wins by 3 goals2.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.57%
Wins by 2 goals14.89%
Wins by 3 goals6.94%
Wins by 4 goals2.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.03%6.97%
1.574.47%25.53%
2.549.75%50.25%
3.527.80%72.20%
4.513.18%86.82%
5.55.39%94.61%
6.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.10%33.90%
1.529.43%70.57%
2.59.59%90.41%
3.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.45%20.55%
1.546.93%53.07%
2.521.21%78.79%
3.57.64%92.36%
4.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.87%29.13%
1.534.94%65.06%
2.512.78%87.22%
3.53.67%96.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score012345
0
6.97%
11.02%
8.72%
4.60%
1.82%
0.58%
1
7.54%
11.92%
9.43%
4.98%
1.97%
0.62%
2
4.08%
6.45%
5.10%
2.69%
1.06%
0.34%
3
1.47%
2.33%
1.84%
0.97%
0.38%
0.12%
4
0.40%
0.63%
0.50%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
Manchester City
1-07.54%
2-04.08%
2-16.45%
3-01.47%
3-12.33%
3-21.84%
4-00.40%
4-10.63%
4-20.50%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.97%
1-111.92%
2-25.10%
3-30.97%
4-40.10%
Arsenal
0-111.02%
0-28.72%
1-29.43%
0-34.60%
1-34.98%
2-32.69%
0-41.82%
1-41.97%
2-41.06%
3-40.38%
0-50.58%
1-50.62%
2-50.34%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score01234
0
29.13%
21.34%
7.82%
1.91%
0.35%
1
14.59%
10.69%
3.91%
0.96%
0.18%
2
3.65%
2.68%
0.98%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.61%
0.45%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-014.59%
2-03.65%
2-12.68%
3-00.61%
3-10.45%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.13%
1-110.69%
2-20.98%
Arsenal
0-121.34%
0-27.82%
1-23.91%
0-31.91%
1-30.96%
2-30.24%
0-40.35%
1-40.18%