Lincoln City at Burton Albion

Updated

Lincoln City

51.3%24.8%23.9%
Lincoln City WinDrawBurton Albion Win
1.63Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 0

Burton Albion

Last Games

Lincoln City
Money Line
W 3-1 at Harrogate-140
L 1-0 vs West Ham United+700
W 3-2 at Sheffield United+500
L 1-2 at Southampton+1000
W 3-1 at Bristol City+345
Burton Albion
Money Line
W 5-4 at Tranmere Rovers
L 4-0 vs Blackpool+280
L 2-0 vs Leicester City+525
L 0-2 at Rochdale+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:11.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lincoln City+109+123+115-103-103-103+123+116.8
Burton Albion+210+235+215+240+240+240+240+274.0
Draw+230+242+225+235+235+235+242+268.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lincoln City+150---+150-+150+116.8
Burton Albion+140---+140-+140+274.0
Draw+220---+220-+220+268.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lincoln City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burton Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lincoln City: 20.0%
Burton Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Lincoln City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lincoln City: 30.0%
Burton Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lincoln City ML moved from +111 to -103
Burton Albion ML moved from +187 to +180

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Lincoln City: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burton Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lincoln City: 40.0%
Burton Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Lincoln City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lincoln City: 90.0%
Burton Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Lincoln City ML
No Steam Moves On Burton Albion ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111o2½-105o2½-108o2½-111o2½-111o2½-111o2½-105o2½-101
Underu2½-109u2½-111u2½-112u2½-109u2½-109u2½-109u2½-109u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110---o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-101
Underu2½-120---u2½-120-u2½-120u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.08%
Exactly 224.82%
Exactly 414.50%
Exactly 63.39%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.75%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 57.68%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Lincoln City
Exactly 019.72%
Exactly 132.02%
Exactly 225.99%
Exactly 314.06%
Exactly 45.71%
Exactly 51.85%
Exactly 60.50%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Burton Albion
Exactly 035.89%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.35%
Exactly 222.06%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lincoln City
Exactly 047.16%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 213.32%
Exactly 33.34%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burton Albion
Exactly 062.23%
Exactly 129.52%
Exactly 27.00%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lincoln City
Wins by 2+ goals27.20%
Wins by 3+ goals11.50%
Wins by 4+ goals3.97%
Wins by 5+ goals1.14%
Burton Albion
Wins by 2+ goals8.64%
Wins by 3+ goals2.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Lincoln City
Burton Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Lincoln City
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals15.70%
Wins by 3 goals7.53%
Wins by 4 goals2.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Burton Albion
Wins by 1 goal15.21%
Wins by 2 goals6.25%
Wins by 3 goals1.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.92%7.08%
1.574.18%25.82%
2.549.36%50.64%
3.527.45%72.55%
4.512.95%87.05%
5.55.26%94.74%
6.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Lincoln City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.28%19.72%
1.548.26%51.74%
2.522.27%77.73%
3.58.21%91.79%
4.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Burton Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.11%35.89%
1.527.33%72.67%
2.58.49%91.51%
3.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.65%29.35%
1.534.68%65.32%
2.512.62%87.38%
3.53.61%96.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lincoln City
Burton Albion
Score01234
0
7.08%
7.25%
3.72%
1.27%
0.33%
1
11.49%
11.78%
6.03%
2.06%
0.53%
2
9.33%
9.56%
4.90%
1.67%
0.43%
3
5.05%
5.17%
2.65%
0.91%
0.23%
4
2.05%
2.10%
1.08%
0.37%
0.09%
5
0.67%
0.68%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
Lincoln City
1-011.49%
2-09.33%
2-19.56%
3-05.05%
3-15.17%
3-22.65%
4-02.05%
4-12.10%
4-21.08%
4-30.37%
5-00.67%
5-10.68%
5-20.35%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.08%
1-111.78%
2-24.90%
3-30.91%
Burton Albion
0-17.25%
0-23.72%
1-26.03%
0-31.27%
1-32.06%
2-31.67%
0-40.33%
1-40.53%
2-40.43%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Lincoln City
Burton Albion
Score0123
0
29.35%
13.92%
3.30%
0.52%
1
22.06%
10.46%
2.48%
0.39%
2
8.29%
3.93%
0.93%
0.15%
3
2.08%
0.99%
0.23%
0.04%
4
0.39%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
Lincoln City
1-022.06%
2-08.29%
2-13.93%
3-02.08%
3-10.99%
3-20.23%
4-00.39%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-029.35%
1-110.46%
2-20.93%
Burton Albion
0-113.92%
0-23.30%
1-22.48%
0-30.52%
1-30.39%
2-30.15%
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