Derby County at Mansfield Town

Updated

Derby County

51.5%25.3%23.1%
Derby County WinDrawMansfield Town Win
1.57Projected Goals 0.96
2Final Score 1

Mansfield Town

Last Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sheffield United+450
W 3-5 vs Salford City+140
Mansfield Town
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Preston North End+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-5.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+140+194+185+187+122+187+194+208.7
Mansfield Town+190+150+150+133+216+133+216+157.6
Draw+230+233+215+210+238+210+238+247.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+140---+170-+170+208.7
Mansfield Town+155---+125-+125+157.6
Draw+215---+215-+215+247.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mansfield Town: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 40.0%
Mansfield Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Mansfield Town: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +128 to +122
Mansfield Town ML moved from +156 to +150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mansfield Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 50.0%
Mansfield Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Mansfield Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +140 to +130
Mansfield Town ML moved from +155 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½+101o2¼-125o2½-101-o2½-101o2¼-125o2½+112
Underu2½-108u2½-119u2¼+105u2½-119-u2½-119u2½-119u2½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105---o2½-105-o2½-105o2½+112
Underu2½-125---u2½-125-u2½-125u2½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-120 to u2¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.97%
Exactly 225.50%
Exactly 413.60%
Exactly 62.90%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.16%
Exactly 321.50%
Exactly 56.88%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 020.83%
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 313.40%
Exactly 45.26%
Exactly 51.65%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Mansfield Town
Exactly 038.25%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.66%
Exactly 35.66%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.00%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 048.37%
Exactly 135.13%
Exactly 212.76%
Exactly 33.09%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mansfield Town
Exactly 064.09%
Exactly 128.51%
Exactly 26.34%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals26.78%
Wins by 3+ goals11.02%
Wins by 4+ goals3.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.95%
Mansfield Town
Wins by 2+ goals8.02%
Wins by 3+ goals2.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Mansfield Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal24.61%
Wins by 2 goals15.76%
Wins by 3 goals7.38%
Wins by 4 goals2.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.79%
Mansfield Town
Wins by 1 goal15.07%
Wins by 2 goals5.91%
Wins by 3 goals1.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.03%7.97%
1.571.88%28.12%
2.546.38%53.62%
3.524.88%75.12%
4.511.28%88.72%
5.54.40%95.60%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.17%20.83%
1.546.50%53.50%
2.520.86%79.14%
3.57.46%92.54%
4.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Mansfield Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.75%38.25%
1.524.99%75.01%
2.57.33%92.67%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.00%31.00%
1.532.70%67.30%
2.511.44%88.56%
3.53.13%96.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Mansfield Town
Score01234
0
7.97%
7.66%
3.68%
1.18%
0.28%
1
12.50%
12.01%
5.77%
1.85%
0.44%
2
9.80%
9.42%
4.53%
1.45%
0.35%
3
5.13%
4.93%
2.37%
0.76%
0.18%
4
2.01%
1.93%
0.93%
0.30%
0.07%
5
0.63%
0.61%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
Derby County
1-012.50%
2-09.80%
2-19.42%
3-05.13%
3-14.93%
3-22.37%
4-02.01%
4-11.93%
4-20.93%
4-30.30%
5-00.63%
5-10.61%
5-20.29%
Draw
0-07.97%
1-112.01%
2-24.53%
3-30.76%
Mansfield Town
0-17.66%
0-23.68%
1-25.77%
0-31.18%
1-31.85%
2-31.45%
0-40.28%
1-40.44%
2-40.35%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Mansfield Town
Score0123
0
31.00%
13.79%
3.07%
0.46%
1
22.51%
10.02%
2.23%
0.33%
2
8.18%
3.64%
0.81%
0.12%
3
1.98%
0.88%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.36%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Derby County
1-022.51%
2-08.18%
2-13.64%
3-01.98%
3-10.88%
3-20.20%
4-00.36%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-031.00%
1-110.02%
2-20.81%
Mansfield Town
0-113.79%
0-23.07%
1-22.23%
0-30.46%
1-30.33%
2-30.12%