MK Dons at Watford

Updated

Milton Keynes Dons

12.7%19.6%67.7%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.07
2Final Score 0

Watford

Last Games

Milton Keynes Dons
Money Line
L 0-5 at Bournemouth+375
Watford
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Stoke City-120
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
MK Dons+420+509+475+550+496+550+550+561.2
Watford-170-170-175-180-187-180-170-150.8
Draw+320+306+295+295+316+295+316+304.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
MK Dons+500---+500-+500+561.2
Watford-220----220--220-150.8
Draw+265---+265-+265+304.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
MK Dons: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

MK Dons: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

MK Dons: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

MK Dons ML moved from +525 to +509
Watford ML moved from -190 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
MK Dons: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

MK Dons: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

MK Dons: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

MK Dons ML moved from +500 to +420
Watford ML moved from -200 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-116o2½-112o2½-110o2½-114-o2½-114o2½-110o2½+102
Underu2½-102u2½-106u2½-110u2½-106-u2½-106u2½-106u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125---o2½-120-o2½-120o2½+102
Underu2½-105---u2½-110-u2½-110u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.85%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 415.83%
Exactly 64.25%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.61%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.98%
Exactly 71.72%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Milton Keynes Dons
Exactly 046.48%
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 213.64%
Exactly 33.48%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 012.59%
Exactly 126.09%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.67%
Exactly 49.67%
Exactly 54.01%
Exactly 61.38%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.87%
Exactly 223.20%
Exactly 43.34%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.31%
Exactly 310.16%
Exactly 50.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milton Keynes Dons
Exactly 070.13%
Exactly 124.88%
Exactly 24.41%
Exactly 30.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 038.31%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milton Keynes Dons
Wins by 2+ goals3.59%
Wins by 3+ goals0.76%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals43.03%
Wins by 3+ goals22.34%
Wins by 4+ goals9.62%
Wins by 5+ goals3.50%
Wins by 6+ goals1.08%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Milton Keynes Dons
Watford
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Milton Keynes Dons
Wins by 1 goal9.12%
Wins by 2 goals2.83%
Wins by 3 goals0.64%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.67%
Wins by 2 goals20.68%
Wins by 3 goals12.72%
Wins by 4 goals6.13%
Wins by 5 goals2.42%
Wins by 6 goals0.80%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.15%5.85%
1.577.54%22.46%
2.553.96%46.04%
3.531.66%68.34%
4.515.83%84.17%
5.56.85%93.15%
6.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Milton Keynes Dons Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.52%46.48%
1.517.91%82.09%
2.54.27%95.73%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.41%12.59%
1.561.32%38.68%
2.534.28%65.72%
3.515.61%84.39%
4.55.94%94.06%
5.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.13%26.87%
1.537.82%62.18%
2.514.62%85.38%
3.54.45%95.55%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

MK Dons
Watford
Score012345
0
5.85%
12.13%
12.56%
8.68%
4.50%
1.86%
1
4.48%
9.29%
9.63%
6.65%
3.44%
1.43%
2
1.72%
3.56%
3.69%
2.55%
1.32%
0.55%
3
0.44%
0.91%
0.94%
0.65%
0.34%
0.14%
Milton Keynes Dons
1-04.48%
2-01.72%
2-13.56%
3-00.44%
3-10.91%
3-20.94%
Draw
0-05.85%
1-19.29%
2-23.69%
3-30.65%
Watford
0-112.13%
0-212.56%
1-29.63%
0-38.68%
1-36.65%
2-32.55%
0-44.50%
1-43.44%
2-41.32%
3-40.34%
0-51.86%
1-51.43%
2-50.55%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

MK Dons
Watford
Score012345
0
26.87%
25.78%
12.37%
3.95%
0.95%
0.18%
1
9.53%
9.15%
4.39%
1.40%
0.34%
0.06%
2
1.69%
1.62%
0.78%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Milton Keynes Dons
1-09.53%
2-01.69%
2-11.62%
3-00.20%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-026.87%
1-19.15%
2-20.78%
Watford
0-125.78%
0-212.37%
1-24.39%
0-33.95%
1-31.40%
2-30.25%
0-40.95%
1-40.34%
0-50.18%