Aston Villa at Bolton

Updated

Aston Villa

79.9%13.1%7.0%
Aston Villa WinDrawWin
2.74Projected Goals 0.70
4Final Score 1

Bolton Wanderers

Last Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 3-4 at Chelsea+725
Bolton Wanderers
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Salford City-145
L 4-5 at Wigan Athletic+205
W 4-5 vs Barnsley+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-223-396-420-360-476-400-396-267.7
Bolton+673+1025+1000+1000+1150+1000+1150+873.0
Draw+354+554+500+460+550+525+554+491.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa------267.7
Bolton-----+873.0
Draw-----+325+491.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bolton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Bolton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bolton: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from -379 to -396
Bolton ML moved from +1150 to +1101

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+119o3-130o3-120o3-131-o3-131o3-120o2¾-125
Underu3-141u3+110u3+100u3+111-u3+111u3+111u2¾+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+120---o3-115-o3-115o2¾-125
Underu3-150---u3-115-u3-115u2¾+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.21%
Exactly 218.98%
Exactly 418.71%
Exactly 67.38%
Exactly 81.56%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.04%
Exactly 321.76%
Exactly 512.87%
Exactly 73.62%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 06.49%
Exactly 117.75%
Exactly 224.27%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 415.13%
Exactly 58.28%
Exactly 63.77%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 80.50%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Bolton Wanderers
Exactly 049.46%
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 212.26%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.34%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 45.45%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 313.69%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 028.19%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 222.60%
Exactly 39.54%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bolton Wanderers
Exactly 072.18%
Exactly 123.53%
Exactly 23.84%
Exactly 30.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals59.39%
Wins by 3+ goals37.57%
Wins by 4+ goals20.22%
Wins by 5+ goals9.35%
Bolton Wanderers
Wins by 2+ goals1.74%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Bolton Wanderers
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal20.42%
Wins by 2 goals21.82%
Wins by 3 goals17.34%
Wins by 4 goals10.87%
Wins by 5 goals5.60%
Bolton Wanderers
Wins by 1 goal5.25%
Wins by 2 goals1.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.79%3.21%
1.585.75%14.25%
2.566.78%33.22%
3.545.02%54.98%
4.526.31%73.69%
5.513.45%86.55%
6.56.07%93.93%
7.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.51%6.49%
1.575.76%24.24%
2.551.49%48.51%
3.529.37%70.63%
4.514.24%85.76%
5.55.96%94.04%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Bolton Wanderers Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.54%49.46%
1.515.72%84.28%
2.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.66%20.34%
1.547.26%52.74%
2.521.47%78.53%
3.57.78%92.22%
4.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Bolton Wanderers
Score0123
0
3.21%
2.26%
0.80%
0.19%
1
8.78%
6.18%
2.18%
0.51%
2
12.00%
8.45%
2.98%
0.70%
3
10.94%
7.71%
2.71%
0.64%
4
7.48%
5.27%
1.85%
0.44%
5
4.09%
2.88%
1.01%
0.24%
Aston Villa
1-08.78%
2-012.00%
2-18.45%
3-010.94%
3-17.71%
3-22.71%
4-07.48%
4-15.27%
4-21.85%
4-30.44%
5-04.09%
5-12.88%
5-21.01%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-03.21%
1-16.18%
2-22.98%
3-30.64%
Bolton Wanderers
0-12.26%
0-20.80%
1-22.18%
0-30.19%
1-30.51%
2-30.70%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Bolton Wanderers
Score0123
0
20.34%
6.63%
1.08%
0.12%
1
25.76%
8.40%
1.37%
0.15%
2
16.31%
5.32%
0.87%
0.09%
3
6.89%
2.24%
0.37%
0.04%
4
2.18%
0.71%
0.12%
0.01%
5
0.55%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-025.76%
2-016.31%
2-15.32%
3-06.89%
3-12.24%
3-20.37%
4-02.18%
4-10.71%
4-20.12%
5-00.55%
5-10.18%
6-00.12%
Draw
0-020.34%
1-18.40%
2-20.87%
Bolton Wanderers
0-16.63%
0-21.08%
1-21.37%
0-30.12%
1-30.15%