Southampton at Liverpool

Updated

Southampton

2.4%6.1%91.6%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.56Projected Goals 3.74
1Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 3-0 at Norwich City+125
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+470
W 2-3 vs Stoke City-350
W 6-5 at Everton+210
W 5-3 at Cardiff City-160
Liverpool
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Newcastle United-115
W 0-4 vs Tottenham-390
L 0-1 at Tottenham-175
W 2-1 at Southampton-185
W 3-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1600+993+900+800+955+800+993+872.5
Liverpool-1200-392-550-400-419-400-392-285.1
Draw+800+558+550+490+534+490+558+537.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1600----+1250+1250+872.5
Liverpool-650-----500-500-285.1
Draw+700----+600+600+537.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Liverpool: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1023 to +993
Liverpool ML moved from -417 to -435

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Liverpool: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 70.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1400 to +1250
Liverpool ML moved from -575 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-122o3½-108o3½-115o3½-109o3½-112o3½-109o3½-108o3½+101
Underu3½+102u3½-108u3½-105u3½-111u3½-108u3½-111u3½-105u3½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120---o3½-120o3½-110o3½-110o3½+101
Underu3½+100---u3½-110u3½-110u3½-110u3½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.35%
Exactly 212.51%
Exactly 419.32%
Exactly 611.93%
Exactly 83.95%
Exactly 100.81%
Exactly 120.11%
 
Exactly 15.81%
Exactly 317.95%
Exactly 516.64%
Exactly 77.34%
Exactly 91.89%
Exactly 110.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 057.12%
Exactly 131.99%
Exactly 28.96%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 02.36%
Exactly 18.85%
Exactly 216.58%
Exactly 320.69%
Exactly 419.37%
Exactly 514.51%
Exactly 69.05%
Exactly 74.84%
Exactly 82.27%
Exactly 90.94%
Exactly 100.35%
Exactly 110.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 013.63%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 48.96%
Exactly 61.19%
 
Exactly 127.16%
Exactly 317.98%
Exactly 53.57%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 077.16%
Exactly 120.01%
Exactly 22.59%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 017.66%
Exactly 130.62%
Exactly 226.55%
Exactly 315.34%
Exactly 46.65%
Exactly 52.31%
Exactly 60.67%
Exactly 70.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals0.46%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals78.95%
Wins by 3+ goals60.86%
Wins by 4+ goals41.39%
Wins by 5+ goals24.78%
Wins by 6+ goals13.13%
Wins by 7+ goals6.18%
Wins by 8+ goals2.60%
Wins by 9+ goals0.97%
Wins by 10+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal1.87%
Wins by 2 goals0.40%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal12.57%
Wins by 2 goals18.09%
Wins by 3 goals19.48%
Wins by 4 goals16.60%
Wins by 5 goals11.66%
Wins by 6 goals6.94%
Wins by 7 goals3.58%
Wins by 8 goals1.63%
Wins by 9 goals0.66%
Wins by 10 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.65%1.35%
1.592.84%7.16%
2.580.32%19.68%
3.562.37%37.63%
4.543.05%56.95%
5.526.41%73.59%
6.514.48%85.52%
7.57.14%92.86%
8.53.19%96.81%
9.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.88%57.12%
1.510.89%89.11%
2.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.64%2.36%
1.588.78%11.22%
2.572.20%27.80%
3.551.51%48.49%
4.532.14%67.86%
5.517.63%82.37%
6.58.58%91.42%
7.53.74%96.26%
8.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.37%13.63%
1.559.21%40.79%
2.532.14%67.86%
3.514.16%85.84%
4.55.20%94.80%
5.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Liverpool
Score012345
0
1.35%
5.06%
9.47%
11.82%
11.06%
8.29%
1
0.76%
2.83%
5.30%
6.62%
6.20%
4.64%
2
0.21%
0.79%
1.48%
1.85%
1.74%
1.30%
Southampton
1-00.76%
2-00.21%
2-10.79%
Draw
0-01.35%
1-12.83%
2-21.48%
3-30.35%
Liverpool
0-15.06%
0-29.47%
1-25.30%
0-311.82%
1-36.62%
2-31.85%
0-411.06%
1-46.20%
2-41.74%
3-40.32%
0-58.29%
1-54.64%
2-51.30%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Liverpool
Score01234567
0
13.63%
23.63%
20.48%
11.84%
5.13%
1.78%
0.51%
0.13%
1
3.53%
6.13%
5.31%
3.07%
1.33%
0.46%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.46%
0.79%
0.69%
0.40%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Southampton
1-03.53%
2-00.46%
2-10.79%
Draw
0-013.63%
1-16.13%
2-20.69%
Liverpool
0-123.63%
0-220.48%
1-25.31%
0-311.84%
1-33.07%
2-30.40%
0-45.13%
1-41.33%
2-40.17%
0-51.78%
1-50.46%
0-60.51%
1-60.13%
0-70.13%