Arsenal at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Arsenal

41.4%27.1%31.5%
Arsenal WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.33Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 2

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Newcastle United-150
W 2-3 vs Crystal Palace-145
W 3-0 at Preston North End-385
W 1-5 vs Bolton Wanderers-1750
L 1-3 at West Ham United+105
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 2-0 at Arsenal+435
W 1-3 vs Brentford-215
W 0-2 vs Chelsea+130
W 1-0 at AFC Wimbledon-1000
W 4-3 at Nottingham Forest-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-101-124-130-128-132-128-124-118.5
Newcastle Utd+253+331+320+335+331+335+335+350.3
Draw+293+294+265+310+294+310+310+324.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+125--135-130-135-135-130-118.5
Newcastle Utd+220-+317+290+275+335+335+350.3
Draw+240-+310+280+250+305+310+324.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -119 to -125
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +297 to +290

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -125 to -135
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +300 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-131o2½-134o2¾-105o2¾-108o2¾-102o2¾-108o2½-134o2¾+102
Underu2½+112u2½+114u2¾-115u2¾-112u2¾-118u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2½-135o2½-145o2½-150o2½-135o2½-135o2¾+102
Underu2½-105-u2½+115u2½+125u2½+120u2½+115u2½+125u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.55%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 413.03%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.03%
Exactly 321.19%
Exactly 56.41%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 026.37%
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 310.41%
Exactly 43.47%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 032.43%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.03%
Exactly 220.76%
Exactly 42.24%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.88%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 053.95%
Exactly 133.29%
Exactly 210.27%
Exactly 32.11%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 059.37%
Exactly 130.95%
Exactly 28.07%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals18.98%
Wins by 3+ goals6.79%
Wins by 4+ goals1.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals12.48%
Wins by 3+ goals3.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal22.38%
Wins by 2 goals12.19%
Wins by 3 goals4.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.50%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal18.91%
Wins by 2 goals8.70%
Wins by 3 goals2.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.45%8.55%
1.570.42%29.58%
2.544.56%55.44%
3.523.37%76.63%
4.510.34%89.66%
5.53.93%96.07%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.63%26.37%
1.538.47%61.53%
2.515.05%84.95%
3.54.64%95.36%
4.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.57%32.43%
1.531.05%68.95%
2.510.49%89.51%
3.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.97%32.03%
1.531.50%68.50%
2.510.74%89.26%
3.52.87%97.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
8.55%
9.63%
5.42%
2.04%
0.57%
0.13%
1
11.40%
12.84%
7.23%
2.71%
0.76%
0.17%
2
7.60%
8.55%
4.82%
1.81%
0.51%
0.11%
3
3.37%
3.80%
2.14%
0.80%
0.23%
0.05%
4
1.12%
1.27%
0.71%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.30%
0.34%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-011.40%
2-07.60%
2-18.55%
3-03.37%
3-13.80%
3-22.14%
4-01.12%
4-11.27%
4-20.71%
4-30.27%
5-00.30%
5-10.34%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-08.55%
1-112.84%
2-24.82%
3-30.80%
Newcastle United
0-19.63%
0-25.42%
1-27.23%
0-32.04%
1-32.71%
2-31.81%
0-40.57%
1-40.76%
2-40.51%
3-40.23%
0-50.13%
1-50.17%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
32.03%
16.70%
4.35%
0.76%
1
19.77%
10.31%
2.69%
0.47%
2
6.10%
3.18%
0.83%
0.14%
3
1.25%
0.65%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-019.77%
2-06.10%
2-13.18%
3-01.25%
3-10.65%
3-20.17%
4-00.19%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-032.03%
1-110.31%
2-20.83%
Newcastle United
0-116.70%
0-24.35%
1-22.69%
0-30.76%
1-30.47%
2-30.14%