AFC Wimbledon at Chelsea

Updated

AFC Wimbledon

1.7%5.4%92.9%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.41Projected Goals 3.66
1Final Score 2

Chelsea

Last Games

AFC Wimbledon
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Coventry City+320
L 2-0 vs Gillingham+115
L 0-3 at Arsenal+1500
W 1-0 at Charlton Athletic+270
Chelsea
Money Line
L 0-2 at Manchester City+500
L 11-10 vs Liverpool+270
W 1-0 at Tottenham+120
W 0-2 vs Tottenham-120
W 2-0 at Brentford+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AFC Wimbledon+1860+1875+1800+1100+1100+1100+1875+1217.7
Chelsea-692-747-850-833-833-833-747-434.9
Draw+768+831+800+720+720+720+831+800.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AFC Wimbledon-----+1217.7
Chelsea------434.9
Draw-----+800.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AFC Wimbledon: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AFC Wimbledon: 0.0%
Chelsea: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AFC Wimbledon: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AFC Wimbledon: 40.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AFC Wimbledon ML moved from +1200 to +1100
Chelsea ML moved from -833 to -909

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½-124o3¾+100o3½-120o3½-120o3½-120o3½-120o3½-109
Underu3½-130u3½+104u3¾-120u3½+100u3½+100u3½+100u3¾-120u3½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100---o3½-115-o3½-115o3½-109
Underu3½-130---u3½-115-u3½-115u3½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-116 to o3¾-109
The Under moved from u3¾-110 to u3½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+105 to o3½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes33.0%
 
No67.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.71%
Exactly 214.14%
Exactly 419.52%
Exactly 610.79%
Exactly 83.19%
Exactly 100.59%
 
Exactly 16.95%
Exactly 319.18%
Exactly 515.90%
Exactly 76.27%
Exactly 91.44%
Exactly 110.22%
Exact Goals Scored - AFC Wimbledon
Exactly 066.10%
Exactly 127.37%
Exactly 25.66%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 02.58%
Exactly 19.44%
Exactly 217.26%
Exactly 321.04%
Exactly 419.23%
Exactly 514.07%
Exactly 68.57%
Exactly 74.48%
Exactly 82.05%
Exactly 90.83%
Exactly 100.30%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.18%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 47.99%
Exactly 60.95%
 
Exactly 128.62%
Exactly 316.95%
Exactly 53.01%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AFC Wimbledon
Exactly 082.56%
Exactly 115.82%
Exactly 21.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 018.39%
Exactly 131.14%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 314.88%
Exactly 46.30%
Exactly 52.13%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

AFC Wimbledon
Wins by 2+ goals0.24%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals80.52%
Wins by 3+ goals62.15%
Wins by 4+ goals42.12%
Wins by 5+ goals25.04%
Wins by 6+ goals13.12%
Wins by 7+ goals6.10%
Wins by 8+ goals2.53%
Wins by 9+ goals0.93%
Wins by 10+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

AFC Wimbledon
Chelsea
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
AFC Wimbledon
Wins by 1 goal1.38%
Wins by 2 goals0.22%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal12.30%
Wins by 2 goals18.36%
Wins by 3 goals20.03%
Wins by 4 goals17.08%
Wins by 5 goals11.91%
Wins by 6 goals7.02%
Wins by 7 goals3.57%
Wins by 8 goals1.60%
Wins by 9 goals0.64%
Wins by 10 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.29%1.71%
1.591.35%8.65%
2.577.21%22.79%
3.558.03%41.97%
4.538.50%61.50%
5.522.61%77.39%
6.511.82%88.18%
7.55.55%94.45%
8.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals AFC Wimbledon Over/Under

OverUnder
0.533.90%66.10%
1.56.53%93.47%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.42%2.58%
1.587.98%12.02%
2.570.72%29.28%
3.549.68%50.32%
4.530.45%69.55%
5.516.38%83.62%
6.57.81%92.19%
7.53.33%96.67%
8.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.82%15.18%
1.556.19%43.81%
2.529.22%70.78%
3.512.27%87.73%
4.54.29%95.71%
5.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

AFC Wimbledon
Chelsea
Score0123456
0
1.71%
6.24%
11.41%
13.91%
12.71%
9.30%
5.67%
1
0.71%
2.58%
4.72%
5.76%
5.26%
3.85%
2.35%
2
0.15%
0.53%
0.98%
1.19%
1.09%
0.80%
0.49%
AFC Wimbledon
1-00.71%
2-00.15%
2-10.53%
Draw
0-01.71%
1-12.58%
2-20.98%
3-30.16%
Chelsea
0-16.24%
0-211.41%
1-24.72%
0-313.91%
1-35.76%
2-31.19%
0-412.71%
1-45.26%
2-41.09%
3-40.15%
0-59.30%
1-53.85%
2-50.80%
3-50.11%
0-65.67%
1-62.35%
2-60.49%

Correct Score - First Half

AFC Wimbledon
Chelsea
Score01234567
0
15.18%
25.71%
21.77%
12.28%
5.20%
1.76%
0.50%
0.12%
1
2.91%
4.93%
4.17%
2.35%
1.00%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
2
0.28%
0.47%
0.40%
0.23%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
AFC Wimbledon
1-02.91%
2-00.28%
2-10.47%
Draw
0-015.18%
1-14.93%
2-20.40%
Chelsea
0-125.71%
0-221.77%
1-24.17%
0-312.28%
1-32.35%
2-30.23%
0-45.20%
1-41.00%
0-51.76%
1-50.34%
0-60.50%
0-70.12%
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