Southampton at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Southampton

13.6%18.7%67.7%
WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.87Projected Goals 2.22
1Final Score 2

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Newcastle United+475
W 0-2 vs Manchester City+850
W 1-2 vs Lincoln City-375
W 5-6 vs Sheffield Wednesday-180
W 3-0 at Cambridge United
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 1-0 at Southampton-155
W 0-2 vs Leicester City-215
W 0-1 vs Bournemouth-290
W 2-3 vs Crystal Palace-175
W 2-1 at Tranmere Rovers

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+650+803+775+900+840+900+900+869.4
Newcastle Utd-200-259-280-294-275-294-259-246.1
Draw+280+382+360+390+422+390+422+438.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+600---+725+770+770+869.4
Newcastle Utd-200----330-260-260-246.1
Draw+315---+315+365+365+438.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 30.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +838 to +828
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -266 to -275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +780 to +750
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -250 to -260

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-117o2½-108o2½-108o2½-108o2½-108o2½-108o2½-100
Underu2½-116u2½-101u2½-112u2½-112u2½-107u2½-112u2½-101u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105---o2½-125o2½-110o2½-110o2½-100
Underu2½-115---u2½-105u2½-110u2½-105u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%
 
No47.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.53%
Exactly 221.69%
Exactly 417.31%
Exactly 65.53%
Exactly 80.94%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 114.02%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.71%
Exactly 72.44%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 041.50%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.05%
Exactly 34.70%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 010.91%
Exactly 124.17%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 319.77%
Exactly 410.95%
Exactly 54.85%
Exactly 61.79%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.86%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 44.19%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.19%
Exactly 311.70%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 066.55%
Exactly 127.10%
Exactly 25.52%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 035.86%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.86%
Exactly 36.45%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals4.19%
Wins by 3+ goals0.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals44.13%
Wins by 3+ goals23.80%
Wins by 4+ goals10.73%
Wins by 5+ goals4.10%
Wins by 6+ goals1.33%
Wins by 7+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal9.35%
Wins by 2 goals3.20%
Wins by 3 goals0.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal23.55%
Wins by 2 goals20.33%
Wins by 3 goals13.07%
Wins by 4 goals6.63%
Wins by 5 goals2.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.98%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.47%4.53%
1.581.46%18.54%
2.559.77%40.23%
3.537.40%62.60%
4.520.09%79.91%
5.59.38%90.62%
6.53.85%96.15%
7.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.50%41.50%
1.522.00%78.00%
2.55.95%94.05%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.09%10.91%
1.564.91%35.09%
2.538.14%61.86%
3.518.37%81.63%
4.57.42%92.58%
5.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.14%23.86%
1.541.95%58.05%
2.517.45%82.55%
3.55.75%94.25%
4.51.56%98.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
4.53%
10.03%
11.11%
8.21%
4.54%
2.01%
1
3.98%
8.82%
9.77%
7.22%
4.00%
1.77%
2
1.75%
3.88%
4.30%
3.17%
1.76%
0.78%
3
0.51%
1.14%
1.26%
0.93%
0.52%
0.23%
4
0.11%
0.25%
0.28%
0.20%
0.11%
0.05%
Southampton
1-03.98%
2-01.75%
2-13.88%
3-00.51%
3-11.14%
3-21.26%
4-00.11%
4-10.25%
4-20.28%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-04.53%
1-18.82%
2-24.30%
3-30.93%
4-40.11%
Newcastle United
0-110.03%
0-211.11%
1-29.77%
0-38.21%
1-37.22%
2-33.17%
0-44.54%
1-44.00%
2-41.76%
3-40.52%
0-52.01%
1-51.77%
2-50.78%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
23.86%
24.48%
12.55%
4.29%
1.10%
0.23%
1
9.72%
9.97%
5.11%
1.75%
0.45%
0.09%
2
1.98%
2.03%
1.04%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.27%
0.28%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-09.72%
2-01.98%
2-12.03%
3-00.27%
3-10.28%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-023.86%
1-19.97%
2-21.04%
Newcastle United
0-124.48%
0-212.55%
1-25.11%
0-34.29%
1-31.75%
2-30.36%
0-41.10%
1-40.45%
0-50.23%