Villarreal at Marseille

Updated

Villarreal

22.4%23.8%53.7%
Villarreal WinDrawMarseille Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.72
0Final Score 4

Marseille

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 3-2 at Rennes+240
W 2-3 vs Panathinaikos-120
W 0-1 vs Rennes+115
L 0-2 at Panathinaikos+180
W 11-10 at Manchester United+350
Marseille
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Shakhtar-185
T 2-2 at Shakhtar+128
L 0-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+400
W 3-4 vs Ajax-185
W 2-0 at AEK Athens+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+250+375+360+400+388+400+400+417.6
Marseille+105-143-150-150-151-150-143-137.8
Draw+260+317+320+325+323+325+325+340.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+290-+380-+295+360+380+417.6
Marseille-110--152--150-145-145-137.8
Draw+270-+315-+265+315+315+340.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 20.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +367 to +350
Marseille ML moved from -135 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 20.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +290 to +275
Marseille ML moved from -144 to -152

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o3+100o3-102o3+100o3-103o3+100o3+100o3+109
Underu2½-115u3-118u3-118u3-120u3-115u3-120u3-115u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120-o3+100-o3+100o3-105o3+100o3+109
Underu2½+100-u3-120-u3-130u3-115u3-115u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.40%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 415.23%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.59%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.38%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 035.86%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.86%
Exactly 36.45%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Marseille
Exactly 017.84%
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 315.23%
Exactly 46.56%
Exactly 52.26%
Exactly 60.65%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.00%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 062.20%
Exactly 129.53%
Exactly 27.01%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Marseille
Exactly 045.02%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.34%
Exactly 33.81%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals8.04%
Wins by 3+ goals2.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Marseille
Wins by 2+ goals29.60%
Wins by 3+ goals13.10%
Wins by 4+ goals4.75%
Wins by 5+ goals1.43%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Marseille
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal14.34%
Wins by 2 goals5.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Marseille
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals16.50%
Wins by 3 goals8.35%
Wins by 4 goals3.32%
Wins by 5 goals1.08%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.60%6.40%
1.576.02%23.98%
2.551.84%48.16%
3.529.69%70.31%
4.514.45%85.55%
5.56.08%93.92%
6.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.14%35.86%
1.527.37%72.63%
2.58.51%91.49%
3.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Marseille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.16%17.84%
1.551.41%48.59%
2.524.91%75.09%
3.59.68%90.32%
4.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.00%28.00%
1.536.36%63.64%
2.513.67%86.33%
3.54.05%95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Marseille
Score012345
0
6.40%
11.03%
9.50%
5.46%
2.35%
0.81%
1
6.56%
11.31%
9.75%
5.60%
2.41%
0.83%
2
3.36%
5.80%
5.00%
2.87%
1.24%
0.43%
3
1.15%
1.98%
1.71%
0.98%
0.42%
0.15%
4
0.29%
0.51%
0.44%
0.25%
0.11%
0.04%
Villarreal
1-06.56%
2-03.36%
2-15.80%
3-01.15%
3-11.98%
3-21.71%
4-00.29%
4-10.51%
4-20.44%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-06.40%
1-111.31%
2-25.00%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Marseille
0-111.03%
0-29.50%
1-29.75%
0-35.46%
1-35.60%
2-32.87%
0-42.35%
1-42.41%
2-41.24%
3-40.42%
0-50.81%
1-50.83%
2-50.43%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Marseille
Score01234
0
28.00%
22.35%
8.92%
2.37%
0.47%
1
13.30%
10.61%
4.24%
1.13%
0.22%
2
3.16%
2.52%
1.01%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.50%
0.40%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-013.30%
2-03.16%
2-12.52%
3-00.50%
3-10.40%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-028.00%
1-110.61%
2-21.01%
Marseille
0-122.35%
0-28.92%
1-24.24%
0-32.37%
1-31.13%
2-30.27%
0-40.47%
1-40.22%