Ajax at AEK Athens

Updated

Ajax

39.4%27.7%32.9%
Ajax WinDrawAEK Athens Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 1

AEK Athens

Last Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Marseille+150
L 1-3 at Union Berlin+235
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin+105
T 1-1 at Roma+210
L 2-1 vs Roma-105
AEK Athens
Money Line
W 3-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+1150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+225+277+275+299+299+299+299+313.1
AEK Athens+117-105-110-112-110-112-105-104.2
Draw+268+281+280+290+285+290+290+303.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+230---+240+275+275+313.1
AEK Athens+110----125-110-110-104.2
Draw+270---+260+280+280+303.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 10.0%
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +298 to +290
AEK Athens ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +215 to +195
AEK Athens ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3+102o3+102o3-102o3+100o3-102o3+102o3+107
Underu3-120u3-120u3-122u3-118u3-120u3-118u3-118u3-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105---o3-115o3-105o3-105o3+107
Underu3-115---u3-115u3-115u3-115u3-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.29%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 412.34%
Exactly 62.32%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.08%
Exactly 320.77%
Exactly 55.86%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 028.52%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - AEK Athens
Exactly 032.58%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.49%
Exactly 37.66%
Exactly 42.15%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.28%
Exactly 220.14%
Exactly 42.03%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 055.94%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 29.44%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AEK Athens
Exactly 059.50%
Exactly 130.89%
Exactly 28.02%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals17.31%
Wins by 3+ goals5.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
AEK Athens
Wins by 2+ goals13.09%
Wins by 3+ goals3.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
AEK Athens
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.02%
Wins by 2 goals11.41%
Wins by 3 goals4.30%
Wins by 4 goals1.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
AEK Athens
Wins by 1 goal19.69%
Wins by 2 goals9.11%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.71%9.29%
1.568.63%31.37%
2.542.40%57.60%
3.521.63%78.37%
4.59.29%90.71%
5.53.43%96.57%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.48%28.52%
1.535.70%64.30%
2.513.26%86.74%
3.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals AEK Athens Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.42%32.58%
1.530.88%69.12%
2.510.39%89.61%
3.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.72%33.28%
1.530.10%69.90%
2.59.96%90.04%
3.52.58%97.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
AEK Athens
Score012345
0
9.29%
10.42%
5.84%
2.18%
0.61%
0.14%
1
11.66%
13.07%
7.33%
2.74%
0.77%
0.17%
2
7.31%
8.20%
4.60%
1.72%
0.48%
0.11%
3
3.06%
3.43%
1.92%
0.72%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.96%
1.08%
0.60%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.24%
0.27%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-011.66%
2-07.31%
2-18.20%
3-03.06%
3-13.43%
3-21.92%
4-00.96%
4-11.08%
4-20.60%
4-30.23%
5-00.24%
5-10.27%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.29%
1-113.07%
2-24.60%
3-30.72%
AEK Athens
0-110.42%
0-25.84%
1-27.33%
0-32.18%
1-32.74%
2-31.72%
0-40.61%
1-40.77%
2-40.48%
3-40.20%
0-50.14%
1-50.17%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
AEK Athens
Score01234
0
33.28%
17.28%
4.49%
0.78%
0.10%
1
19.33%
10.04%
2.61%
0.45%
0.06%
2
5.62%
2.92%
0.76%
0.13%
0.02%
3
1.09%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Ajax
1-019.33%
2-05.62%
2-12.92%
3-01.09%
3-10.56%
3-20.15%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.28%
1-110.04%
2-20.76%
AEK Athens
0-117.28%
0-24.49%
1-22.61%
0-30.78%
1-30.45%
2-30.13%
0-40.10%
AEK Athens at Brighton
Atalanta at Sporting CP