Roma at Milan

Updated

Roma

19.9%22.8%57.3%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.82
1Final Score 0

Milan

Last 5 Games

Roma
Money Line
L 0-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+410
W 0-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+127
W 2-4 vs Feyenoord-105
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+225
W 0-3 vs Sheriff Tiraspol-550
Milan
Money Line
W 3-1 at Slavia Prague+140
W 2-4 vs Slavia Prague-240
L 2-3 at Rennes+148
W 0-3 vs Rennes-155
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+356

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+270+368+370+405+387+405+405+422.6
Milan+104-127-135-133-130-133-127-123.0
Draw+233+274+280+276+279+276+280+289.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+270-+371+340+350+395+395+422.6
Milan+105--130-130-150-140-130-123.0
Draw+240-+271+245+230+280+280+289.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Milan: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +396 to +387
Milan ML moved from -110 to -116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Milan: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +380 to +371
Milan ML moved from -110 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2½-120o2½-115o2½-115o2½-112o2½-115o2½-112o2½-104
Underu2½-128u2½+102u2½-105u2½-105u2½-102u2½-105u2½+102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100-o2½-118o2½-115o2½-115o2½-125o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2½-120-u2½-102u2½-105u2½-115u2½+105u2½+105u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-117 to o2½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+115 to o2½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.15%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 415.50%
Exactly 64.02%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.15%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.64%
Exactly 71.60%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 037.89%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.84%
Exactly 35.77%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 016.23%
Exactly 129.51%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 316.26%
Exactly 47.39%
Exactly 52.69%
Exactly 60.81%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.50%
Exactly 222.92%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 39.86%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 063.81%
Exactly 128.67%
Exactly 26.44%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 043.10%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.27%
Exactly 34.28%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Roma
Wins by 2+ goals6.79%
Wins by 3+ goals1.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals32.81%
Wins by 3+ goals15.18%
Wins by 4+ goals5.77%
Wins by 5+ goals1.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Roma
Milan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Roma
Wins by 1 goal13.03%
Wins by 2 goals5.02%
Wins by 3 goals1.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.42%
Wins by 2 goals17.63%
Wins by 3 goals9.41%
Wins by 4 goals3.95%
Wins by 5 goals1.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.85%6.15%
1.576.70%23.30%
2.552.78%47.22%
3.530.55%69.45%
4.515.05%84.95%
5.56.41%93.59%
6.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.11%37.89%
1.525.34%74.66%
2.57.49%92.51%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.77%16.23%
1.554.25%45.75%
2.527.42%72.58%
3.511.16%88.84%
4.53.77%96.23%
5.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.50%27.50%
1.537.00%63.00%
2.514.08%85.92%
3.54.22%95.78%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Roma
Milan
Score012345
0
6.15%
11.18%
10.17%
6.16%
2.80%
1.02%
1
5.97%
10.85%
9.87%
5.98%
2.72%
0.99%
2
2.90%
5.27%
4.79%
2.90%
1.32%
0.48%
3
0.94%
1.70%
1.55%
0.94%
0.43%
0.16%
4
0.23%
0.41%
0.38%
0.23%
0.10%
0.04%
Roma
1-05.97%
2-02.90%
2-15.27%
3-00.94%
3-11.70%
3-21.55%
4-00.23%
4-10.41%
4-20.38%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-06.15%
1-110.85%
2-24.79%
3-30.94%
4-40.10%
Milan
0-111.18%
0-210.17%
1-29.87%
0-36.16%
1-35.98%
2-32.90%
0-42.80%
1-42.72%
2-41.32%
3-40.43%
0-51.02%
1-50.99%
2-50.48%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Roma
Milan
Score01234
0
27.50%
23.15%
9.74%
2.73%
0.58%
1
12.35%
10.40%
4.38%
1.23%
0.26%
2
2.78%
2.34%
0.98%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.42%
0.35%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Roma
1-012.35%
2-02.78%
2-12.34%
3-00.42%
3-10.35%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-027.50%
1-110.40%
2-20.98%
Milan
0-123.15%
0-29.74%
1-24.38%
0-32.73%
1-31.23%
2-30.28%
0-40.58%
1-40.26%