Atalanta at Sturm Graz

Updated

Atalanta

49.0%23.8%27.2%
Atalanta WinDrawSturm Graz Win
1.71Projected Goals 1.21
2Final Score 2

Sturm Graz

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sporting CP+220
L 2-0 vs RB Leipzig+170
T 1-1 at RB Leipzig+350
W 1-0 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+185
W 2-3 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+110
Sturm Graz
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+300
L 0-2 at Midtjylland+240
W 0-1 vs Feyenoord+240
T 2-2 at Lazio+550
T 0-0 vs Lazio+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+101-162-165-170-170-170-162-155.0
Sturm Graz+268+467+460+495+495+495+495+516.3
Draw+270+307+310+320+320+320+320+335.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta-125----185-165-165-155.0
Sturm Graz+245---+395+450+450+516.3
Draw+255---+260+305+305+335.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Sturm Graz: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Sturm Graz: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from -156 to -162
Sturm Graz ML moved from +480 to +460

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Sturm Graz: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Sturm Graz: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from -155 to -165
No Steam Moves On Sturm Graz ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-126o2½-126o2½-122o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2½-122o2¾+109
Underu2½+106u2½+106u2½+102u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125---o2½-130o2½-130o2½-130o2¾+109
Underu2½-105---u2½+100u2½+110u2½+110u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-118 to o2½-120
The Under moved from u2¾-118 to u2-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%
 
No42.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.38%
Exactly 222.98%
Exactly 416.35%
Exactly 64.65%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.73%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.55%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 018.12%
Exactly 130.95%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 315.05%
Exactly 46.43%
Exactly 52.20%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Sturm Graz
Exactly 029.71%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 221.88%
Exactly 38.85%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.85%
Exactly 223.65%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 310.67%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 045.35%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.18%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sturm Graz
Exactly 057.01%
Exactly 132.04%
Exactly 29.00%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals26.28%
Wins by 3+ goals11.38%
Wins by 4+ goals4.05%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Sturm Graz
Wins by 2+ goals11.06%
Wins by 3+ goals3.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Sturm Graz
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal22.65%
Wins by 2 goals14.90%
Wins by 3 goals7.33%
Wins by 4 goals2.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.91%
Sturm Graz
Wins by 1 goal16.10%
Wins by 2 goals7.52%
Wins by 3 goals2.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.62%5.38%
1.578.89%21.11%
2.555.90%44.10%
3.533.52%66.48%
4.517.18%82.82%
5.57.62%92.38%
6.52.97%97.03%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.88%18.12%
1.550.93%49.07%
2.524.49%75.51%
3.59.44%90.56%
4.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Sturm Graz Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.29%29.71%
1.534.23%65.77%
2.512.35%87.65%
3.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.15%25.85%
1.539.17%60.83%
2.515.52%84.48%
3.54.85%95.15%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Sturm Graz
Score012345
0
5.38%
6.53%
3.97%
1.60%
0.49%
0.12%
1
9.20%
11.16%
6.77%
2.74%
0.83%
0.20%
2
7.85%
9.53%
5.78%
2.34%
0.71%
0.17%
3
4.47%
5.43%
3.29%
1.33%
0.40%
0.10%
4
1.91%
2.32%
1.41%
0.57%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.65%
0.79%
0.48%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
Atalanta
1-09.20%
2-07.85%
2-19.53%
3-04.47%
3-15.43%
3-23.29%
4-01.91%
4-12.32%
4-21.41%
4-30.57%
5-00.65%
5-10.79%
5-20.48%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.38%
1-111.16%
2-25.78%
3-31.33%
4-40.17%
Sturm Graz
0-16.53%
0-23.97%
1-26.77%
0-31.60%
1-32.74%
2-32.34%
0-40.49%
1-40.83%
2-40.71%
3-40.40%
0-50.12%
1-50.20%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Sturm Graz
Score01234
0
25.85%
14.53%
4.08%
0.76%
0.11%
1
20.44%
11.49%
3.23%
0.60%
0.08%
2
8.08%
4.54%
1.28%
0.24%
0.03%
3
2.13%
1.20%
0.34%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.42%
0.24%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-020.44%
2-08.08%
2-14.54%
3-02.13%
3-11.20%
3-20.34%
4-00.42%
4-10.24%
Draw
0-025.85%
1-111.49%
2-21.28%
Sturm Graz
0-114.53%
0-24.08%
1-23.23%
0-30.76%
1-30.60%
2-30.24%
0-40.11%