Arsenal at Villarreal

Updated

Arsenal

43.6%25.5%30.9%
Arsenal WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.54Projected Goals 1.09
1Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 4 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 4-0 at Slavia Prague-135
T 1-1 vs Slavia Prague-215
L 1-0 vs Olympiacos-250
W 3-1 at Olympiacos-150
Villarreal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Dinamo Zagreb-210
W 1-0 at Dinamo Zagreb-114
W 0-2 vs Dynamo Kyiv-191
W 2-0 at Dynamo Kyiv+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+170+184+190+185+178+185+190-
Villarreal+160+156+155+165+161+165+165-
Draw+245+224+225+230+215+230+230-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+165-+183-+170+185+185-
Villarreal+170-+159-+130+150+159-
Draw+230-+223-+210+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +184 to +178
Villarreal ML moved from +160 to +154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +195 to +185
Villarreal ML moved from +150 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+101o2½+100o2½+110-o2½+110o2½+110-
Underu2½-115u2½-124u2½-120u2½-130-u2½-130u2½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105-o2½+108-o2½-110o2½+105o2½+108-
Underu2½-115-u2½-128-u2½-120u2½-125u2½-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%
 
No47.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.23%
Exactly 224.94%
Exactly 414.35%
Exactly 63.30%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.99%
Exactly 321.85%
Exactly 57.54%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 021.48%
Exactly 133.04%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 313.03%
Exactly 45.01%
Exactly 51.54%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 033.64%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.96%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.63%
Exactly 221.92%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 38.89%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 049.06%
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 212.44%
Exactly 32.95%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 060.39%
Exactly 130.46%
Exactly 27.68%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals24.12%
Wins by 3+ goals9.68%
Wins by 4+ goals3.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals10.22%
Wins by 3+ goals2.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.42%
Wins by 2 goals14.44%
Wins by 3 goals6.55%
Wins by 4 goals2.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal16.59%
Wins by 2 goals7.24%
Wins by 3 goals2.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.77%7.23%
1.573.79%26.21%
2.548.84%51.16%
3.527.00%73.00%
4.512.65%87.35%
5.55.11%94.89%
6.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.52%21.48%
1.545.49%54.51%
2.520.08%79.92%
3.57.05%92.95%
4.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.36%33.64%
1.529.71%70.29%
2.59.74%90.26%
3.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.37%29.63%
1.534.33%65.67%
2.512.41%87.59%
3.53.52%96.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Villarreal
Score01234
0
7.23%
7.87%
4.29%
1.56%
0.42%
1
11.11%
12.11%
6.59%
2.39%
0.65%
2
8.55%
9.31%
5.07%
1.84%
0.50%
3
4.38%
4.77%
2.60%
0.94%
0.26%
4
1.69%
1.84%
1.00%
0.36%
0.10%
5
0.52%
0.56%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
Arsenal
1-011.11%
2-08.55%
2-19.31%
3-04.38%
3-14.77%
3-22.60%
4-01.69%
4-11.84%
4-21.00%
4-30.36%
5-00.52%
5-10.56%
5-20.31%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.23%
1-112.11%
2-25.07%
3-30.94%
Villarreal
0-17.87%
0-24.29%
1-26.59%
0-31.56%
1-32.39%
2-31.84%
0-40.42%
1-40.65%
2-40.50%
3-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Villarreal
Score0123
0
29.63%
14.94%
3.77%
0.63%
1
21.10%
10.64%
2.68%
0.45%
2
7.51%
3.79%
0.96%
0.16%
3
1.78%
0.90%
0.23%
0.04%
4
0.32%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Arsenal
1-021.10%
2-07.51%
2-13.79%
3-01.78%
3-10.90%
3-20.23%
4-00.32%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-029.63%
1-110.64%
2-20.96%
Villarreal
0-114.94%
0-23.77%
1-22.68%
0-30.63%
1-30.45%
2-30.16%