Marlins at Nationals

Updated

Miami Marlins

(4-15)
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5
36.0%64.0%
Marlins WinNationals Win
3.49Projected Runs 4.95
3Final Score 2

Washington Nationals

(8-10)
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Elieser Hernandez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-01.840.75

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-13.911.174

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 5-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • MIA: Pablo Lopez+190
L 8-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Corey Oswalt • MIA: Humberto Mejia+145
L 11-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Robert Gsellman • MIA: Jordan Yamamoto+147
L 4-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Robbie Erlin • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+119
L 2-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • MIA: Daniel Castano+190
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 8-5 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Austin Voth • ATL: Josh Tomlin+120
L 6-7 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Anibal Sanchez • ATL: Touki Toussaint+150
W 6-5 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Max Scherzer • BAL: John Means-173
L 3-7 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Patrick Corbin • BAL: Asher Wojciechowski-165
W 15-3 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Stephen Strasburg • BAL: Tommy Milone-162

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PCaleb Smith10-day IL
  • PRyne Stanek10-day IL
  • PNick Neidert10-day IL
  • 3BSean Rodriguez10-day IL
  • PPat Venditte10-day IL
  • PYimi Garcia10-day IL
  • PJordan Holloway10-day IL
  • PAlex Vesia10-day IL
  • 2BJon BertiRest
  • 2BIsan DiazOut for Season
  • PSandy Alcantara10-day IL
  • PJose Urena10-day IL
  • RFHarold Ramirez10-day IL
  • PRobert Dugger10-day IL
  • LFGarrett Cooper10-day IL
  • PJeff Brigham10-day IL
  • PDrew Steckenrider60-day IL
  • CChad Wallach10-day IL
  • PAdam Conley10-day IL
  • CJorge AlfaroProbable

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PSam Freeman45-day IL
  • 2BStarlin Castro10-day IL
  • PSean Doolittle10-day IL
  • PStephen Strasburg10-day IL
  • 2BHowie KendrickQuestionable
S 8 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)82°80°79°79°
Humidity69%74%78%77%
Precipitation5%5%6%9%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 8 mphS 8 mphS 6 mphS 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+196+175+179+185+185+179+185-
Nationals-215-205-195-200-210-195-195-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+190-+174+177+180+177+180-
Nationals-210--192-194-200-194-192-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +180 to +170
Nationals ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +180 to +170
Nationals ML moved from -194 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-110+1½-110+1½-116+1½-115+1½-115+1½-116+1½-110-
Nationals-1½-110-1½-110-1½-104-1½-105-1½-105-1½-104-1½-104-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-115-+1½-122+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115-
Nationals-1½-105--1½+104-1½+100-1½-105-1½+100-1½+104-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-120o8½-118o8½-120o8½-120o8½-118o8½-118-
Underu9-115u8½+100u8½-102u8½+100u8½+100u8½-102u8½+100-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105-o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115-
Underu9½-115-u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-101 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105
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