Phillies at Braves

Updated
Rank5
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
37.7%62.3%
Phillies WinBraves Win
3.45Projected Runs 4.74
1Final Score 13
Rank2
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank5
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank2
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Nick Nelson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
13-13.941.313

Spencer Strider (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-32.911.021

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Aaron Nola • PIT: JT Brubaker-165
W 2-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Ranger Suarez • PIT: Mitch Keller-145
W 4-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Bailey Falter • PIT: Jose Quintana-114
W 8-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Zack Wheeler • PIT: Zach Thompson-182
W 2-7 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • PHI: Kyle Gibson+132
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • ATL: Max Fried-215
W 2-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Corbin Martin • ATL: Ian Anderson-212
W 2-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • ATL: Kyle Wright-205
L 2-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Charlie Morton • PHI: Kyle Gibson-140
W 6-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Spencer Strider • PHI: Aaron Nola-118

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • LFBrandon MarshOut
  • CFOdubel HerreraRest

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • LFAdam DuvallOut for Season
  • CTravis D'ArnaudRest
  • RFRobbie GrossmanRest
  • PDarren O'Day10-day IL
SW 3 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)89°87°84°82°
Humidity51%57%63%73%
Precipitation10%13%9%9%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindSW 3 mphSW 4 mphWSW 3 mphWSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+196+218+205+214+208+214+218+225.9
Braves-215-243-250-238-238-238-238-225.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+197+200+211+196+215+210+215+225.9
Braves-220-240-235-240-245-240-235-225.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +224 to +214
Braves ML moved from -230 to -250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +185 to +178
Braves ML moved from -240 to -250

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-110+1½+102+1½+105+1½+103+1½+103+1½+103+1½+105+1½+114
Braves-1½-110-1½-118-1½-125-1½-123-1½-123-1½-123-1½-118-1½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-110+1½+105+1½+104+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+114
Braves-1½-110-1½-125-1½-122-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-122-1½-114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-113o8½-120o8½-117o8½-117o8½-117o8½-113o8½-104
Underu8½-110u8½-103u8½+100u8½-103u8½-103u8½-103u8½+100u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-110o8½-109o8½-115o8-125o8½-110o8-125o8½-104
Underu8-110u8½-110u8½-111u8½-105u8+105u8½-110u8½-105u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-112 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115