Pirates at Nationals

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(13-12)
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
43.5%56.5%
Pirates WinNationals Win
4.12Projected Runs 4.80
8Final Score 7

Washington Nationals

(10-13)
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.4
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-54.771.424

Paolo Espino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-12.211.107

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-3 at Washington NationalsPIT: Jose Quintana • WSN: Patrick Corbin+112
L 2-3 at Washington NationalsPIT: Miguel Yajure • WSN: Erick Fedde+136
L 2-4 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: Roansy Contreras • TBR: Shane McClanahan+230
L 5-6 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: JT Brubaker • TBR: Corey Kluber+162
L 3-4 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: Mitch Keller • TBR: Jeffrey Springs+193
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jose Quintana • WSN: Patrick Corbin-119
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Miguel Yajure • WSN: Erick Fedde-140
W 6-4 at Texas RangersWSN: Jackson Tetreault • TEX: Glenn Otto+152
L 2-3 at Texas RangersWSN: Josiah Gray • TEX: Brett Martin+133
W 2-1 at Texas RangersWSN: Paolo Espino • TEX: Dane Dunning+144

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDillon PetersUnknown
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • SSTucupita MarcanoUnknown
  • PZach ThompsonUnknown

Washington Nationals

Status
  • SSAlcides EscobarRest
  • PVictor AranoUnknown
  • 3BMaikel FrancoRest
  • PJosh RogersUnknown
  • PStephen StrasburgUnknown
S 10 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°83°82°82°
Humidity47%46%47%46%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 10 mphS 10 mphSSW 9 mphSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+110+130+133+135+132+133+135+138.0
Nationals-120-155-144-145-144-144-144-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+121+132+130+135+133+132+135+138.0
Nationals-131-142-142-145-145-142-142-138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +120 to +112
Nationals ML moved from -135 to -144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Nationals ML moved from -138 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-185+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-145
Nationals-1½+160-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-155+1½-167+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-145
Nationals-1½+150-1½+135-1½+148-1½+140-1½+140-1½+135-1½+148-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-105o9-122o9½-105o9-122o9-122o9-122o9-109
Underu9½-115u9½-115u9+102u9½-115u9+102u9+102u9½-115u9+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-120o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-109
Underu9-105u9+100u9+105u9+100u9+100u9+100u9½-120u9+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-116 to o9½-108
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105
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