Mets at Braves

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1
44.4%55.6%
Mets WinBraves Win
3.94Projected Runs 4.54
4Final Score 5
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

David Peterson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-34.861.26

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-25.081.436

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 4-3 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Miguel Castro • ATL: Tucker Davidson+140
W 3-1 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Taijuan Walker • ATL: Max Fried+151
L 1-7 at Tampa Bay RaysNYM: Marcus Stroman • TBR: Josh Fleming-105
L 5-12 at Tampa Bay RaysNYM: Drew Smith • TBR: Shane McClanahan+140
L 2-3 at Tampa Bay RaysNYM: David Peterson • TBR: Tyler Glasnow+147
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 4-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Miguel Castro • ATL: Tucker Davidson-146
L 3-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • ATL: Max Fried-158
L 9-10 at Milwaukee BrewersATL: Huascar Ynoa • MIL: Freddy Peralta+121
W 5-1 at Milwaukee BrewersATL: Ian Anderson • MIL: Brett Anderson-108
W 6-3 at Milwaukee BrewersATL: Drew Smyly • MIL: Adrian Houser+125

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PCarlos Carrasco60-day IL
  • CFAlbert Almora Jr.10-day IL
  • CFKevin Pillar10-day IL
  • PTaijuan Walker10-day IL
  • 2BJeff McNeil10-day IL
  • PJacob deGrom10-day IL
  • 3BJ.D. Davis10-day IL
  • RFMichael Conforto10-day IL
  • 2BLuis Guillorme10-day IL
  • 1BPete AlonsoRest
  • PDellin Betances60-day IL
  • LFBrandon Nimmo10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PHuascar Ynoa10-day IL
  • CFEnder InciarteOut
  • PMax FriedQuestionable
  • PGrant Dayton10-day IL
  • CFCristian Pache10-day IL
  • CTravis d'Arnaud60-day IL
  • CAlex Jackson10-day IL
ESE 7 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°77°74°73°
Humidity50%54%62%67%
Precipitation0%1%1%1%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindESE 7 mphE 7 mphESE 8 mphESE 10 mph
Mike Muchlinski
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+144+173+175+182+178+182+182-
Braves-156-193-205-198-198-198-193-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+140+175+182+175+170+177+182-
Braves-154-190-201-195-190-194-190-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 40.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +177 to +170
Braves ML moved from -190 to -202

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 40.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +173 to +165
Braves ML moved from -175 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-155+1½-125+1½-125+1½-118+1½-118+1½-118+1½-118-
Braves-1½+135-1½+105-1½+105-1½-102-1½-102-1½-102-1½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-150+1½-125+1½-121+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-121-
Braves-1½+131-1½+105-1½+103-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+110o8-101o7½-115o7½-125o7½-118o7½-125o7½-115-
Underu8½-130u8-119u7½-105u7½+105u7½-102u7½+105u7½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-110o7½-125o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110-
Underu8-105u7½-110u7½+105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-118 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u7½+104 to u8-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110