Royals at Twins

Updated
Rank22
R/G4.6
RA/G3.1
39.9%60.1%
Royals WinTwins Win
3.63Projected Runs 4.69
7Final Score 10
Rank14
R/G3.8
RA/G4.3
Rank22
R/G4.6
RA/G3.1
Rank14
R/G3.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Brad Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-43.21.026

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-12.551.135

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Daniel Lynch • MIN: Devin Smeltzer+170
L 6-8 at Arizona DiamondbacksKCR: Jon Heasley • ARI: Zac Gallen+190
L 5-9 at Arizona DiamondbacksKCR: Zack Greinke • ARI: Zach Davies+103
L 7-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • KCR: Brady Singer-112
L 9-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • KCR: Brad Keller+140
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch • MIN: Devin Smeltzer-180
L 4-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Rony Garcia • MIN: Dylan Bundy-190
W 0-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Beau Brieske • MIN: Sonny Gray-240
W 4-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Elvin Rodriguez • MIN: Chris Archer-210
W 7-6 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Bailey Ober • KCR: Brady Singer+105

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • SSAdalberto Mondesi60-day IL
  • CFEdward Olivares10-day IL
  • CFMichael A. TaylorOut
  • CSalvador Perez10-day IL
  • PRonald BolanosOut
  • CFKyle Isbel10-day IL
  • -Amir Garrett10-day IL
  • CCam Gallagher10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PJosh Winder10-day IL
  • -Jhon Romero60-day IL
  • CFGilberto Celestino10-day IL
  • 2BJorge PolancoQuestionable
  • 1BMiguel Sano60-day IL
  • PJoe RyanUnknown
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL
S 6 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°72°69°67°
Humidity42%50%57%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindS 6 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 7 mph
Jordan Baker
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+165+156+166+165+161+166+166+170.3
Twins-175-190-181-175-181-181-175-170.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+162+165+166+160+167+162+167+170.3
Twins-174-180-183-175-184-174-174-170.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +160 to +150
Twins ML moved from -182 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +164 to +155
Twins ML moved from -175 to -184

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-135+1½-135+1½-139+1½-140+1½-139+1½-139+1½-135+1½-128
Twins-1½+115-1½+115-1½+119-1½+120-1½+119-1½+119-1½+120-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-135+1½-135+1½-138+1½-140+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-128
Twins-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+110-1½+115-1½+120-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8½-115o8½-113o8½-115o8½-113o8½-113o8½-113o8½-104
Underu8-115u8½-105u8½-107u8½-105u8½-107u8½-107u8½-105u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8½-110o8½-120o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-104
Underu8-120u8½-110u8½+100u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115