Nationals at Reds

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
40.2%59.8%
Nationals WinReds Win
3.66Projected Runs 4.69
11Final Score 6
Rank15
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank15
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-35.71.533

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-22.250.861

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 1-6 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Mitchell Parker • CIN: Hunter Greene+180
W 4-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Brad Lord • PHI: Taijuan Walker+161
L 2-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Jake Irvin • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez+220
L 6-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez+170
L 19-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Griffin Canning • WSN: Trevor Williams+155
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • CIN: Hunter Greene-190
W 1-9 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • CIN: Andrew Abbott+111
L 9-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • CIN: Chase Petty-104
L 6-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CIN: Brady Singer-140
W 1-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Andre Pallante • CIN: Nick Martinez-120

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • SSPaul DeJong10-day IL
  • PMichael Soroka15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • -Ian Gibaut15-day IL
  • LFAustin Hays10-day IL
  • PJulian Aguiar60-day IL
  • PRhett Lowder15-day IL
  • 1BChristian Encarnacion-Strand10-day IL
  • 3BJeimer Candelario10-day IL
NE 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)56°56°55°54°54°
Humidity83%85%85%85%85%
Precipitation62%58%55%29%25%
ConditionDrizzleDrizzleDrizzleCloudyCloudy
WindNE 10 mphNE 11 mphNE 7 mphNNE 8 mphNNE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+157+165+157+164+170+164+170+170.4
Reds-174-181-192-182-180-182-180-170.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+165+165+165+170+165+167+170+170.4
Reds-190-185-185-185-190-184-184-170.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +168 to +161
Reds ML moved from -174 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +168 to +160
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-130+1½-108+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-108+1½-114
Reds-1½+110-1½-108-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-120+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-114
Reds-1½+100-1½+110-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9+107o9+100o9-107o9-105o9-107o9+107o9+103
Underu9-120u9-123u9-120u9-113u9-115u9-113u9-113u9-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-105o9-105o9+100o8½-120o8½-125o8½-120o9+103
Underu9-115u9-115u9-115u9-120u8½+100u8½+105u9-115u9-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o9+100
The Under moved from u9-123 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-110