Reds at Phillies

Updated
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
32.4%67.6%
Reds WinPhillies Win
3.33Projected Runs 5.15
0Final Score 4
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Justin Dunn (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-16.081.725

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
248-103.250.958

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 5-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: T.J. Zeuch • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez+225
L 6-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Nick Lodolo • PHI: Ranger Suarez+189
L 1-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Luis Cessa • PHI: Noah Syndergaard+210
W 9-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Mike Minor • PIT: Zach Thompson+110
W 10-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Justin Dunn • PIT: Tyler Beede+132
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 5-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: T.J. Zeuch • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-240
W 6-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • PHI: Ranger Suarez-200
W 1-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Cessa • PHI: Noah Syndergaard-230
L 10-9 vs New York MetsNYM: Jose Butto • PHI: Kyle Gibson-112
W 1-4 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • PHI: Bailey Falter+118

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • SSMatt Reynolds10-day IL
  • 1BJoey VottoOut for Season
  • PT.J. ZeuchUnknown
  • 2BJonathan IndiaQuestionable
  • 3BMike MoustakasQuestionable
  • PHunter GreeneUnknown
  • CFAlbert Almora Jr.10-day IL
  • PGraham AshcraftUnknown

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CJ.T. RealmutoRest
  • PSeranthony DominguezUnknown
  • PZack WheelerUnknown
  • 3BAlec BohmRest
  • DHBryce HarperUnknown
  • PCorey KnebelUnknown
  • LFBrandon Marsh10-day IL
SSW 5 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°83°82°82°
Humidity48%54%58%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSW 5 mphSSW 5 mphSSW 5 mphSSW 5 mph
Ben May
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+266+306+280+301+275+301+306+311.9
Phillies-300-356-360-340-335-340-335-311.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+255+300+305+285+290+295+305+311.9
Phillies-310-360-345-365-360-345-345-311.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +279 to +270
Phillies ML moved from -345 to -351

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +310 to +300
Phillies ML moved from -350 to -360

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½+120+1½+152+1½+150+1½+150+1½+145+1½+150+1½+152+1½+153
Phillies-1½-140-1½-168-1½-175-1½-170-1½-165-1½-170-1½-165-1½-153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½+130+1½+160+1½+146+1½+150+1½+150+1½+150+1½+160+1½+153
Phillies-1½-150-1½-180-1½-165-1½-170-1½-170-1½-170-1½-170-1½-153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-118o8½+100o8½-103o8½-103o8½-103o8½+100o8½+109
Underu8½+100u8+102u8½-120u8½-117u8½-117u8½-117u8+102u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½+100o8-115o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8-115o8½+109
Underu8½-115u8½-120u8-105u8½-120u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under