Red Sox at Orioles

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(11-10)
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
60.9%39.1%
Red Sox WinOrioles Win
4.87Projected Runs 3.73
5Final Score 9

Baltimore Orioles

(12-7)
Rank5
R/G5.7
RA/G4.5
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank5
R/G5.7
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-38.271.959

Jordan Lyles (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-25.41.6

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-2 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • BAL: Spenser Watkins-174
W 3-1 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Rich Hill • BAL: Kyle Bradish-120
L 0-1 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Garrett Whitlock • TOR: Alek Manoah+126
W 7-1 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Michael Wacha • TOR: Ross Stripling+113
L 5-6 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TOR: Kevin Gausman+185
Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • BAL: Spenser Watkins+170
L 3-1 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Rich Hill • BAL: Kyle Bradish+111
L 5-10 at New York YankeesBAL: Bruce Zimmerman • NYY: Jameson Taillon+200
L 2-5 at New York YankeesBAL: Tyler Wells • NYY: Jordan Montgomery+224
L 8-12 at New York YankeesBAL: Jordan Lyles • NYY: Luis Severino+242

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • LFAlex VerdugoRest
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • 1BBobby DalbecRest
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • SSJonathan ArauzOut
  • PJosh Taylor10-day IL

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PJohn MeansOut for Season
  • CRobinson ChirinosRest
  • PChris Ellis10-day IL
  • PDean Kremer10-day IL
  • DHTrey ManciniRest
SE 7 mph
Camden Yards, Baltimore
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)64°65°65°65°
Humidity54%52%50%51%
Precipitation2%5%2%3%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSE 7 mphSE 8 mphSE 9 mphSE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-130-145-138-138-138-138-138-133.2
Orioles+120+122+128+128+128+128+128+133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-154-139-138-135-135-138-135-133.2
Orioles+144+129+126+125+125+128+129+133.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -148 to -155
Orioles ML moved from +122 to +116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -143 to -150
Orioles ML moved from +127 to +118

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+135-1½+110-1½+120-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124
Orioles+1½-155+1½-130+1½-140+1½-130+1½-140+1½-140+1½-130+1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+115-1½+114-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124
Orioles+1½-130+1½-135+1½-132+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-132+1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8-130o8-125o8-125o8-125o8-125o8-125o8-109
Underu7½-110u8+110u8+105u8+105u8+105u8+105u8+110u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-125o8-115o8-125o8-125o8-120o8-115o8-109
Underu8-115u8+105u8-105u8+105u8+105u8+100u8+105u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8-130
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-110
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