Braves at Pirates

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.1
RA/G4.0
56.7%43.3%
Braves WinPirates Win
4.58Projected Runs 3.87
3Final Score 2
Rank27
R/G3.0
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.1
RA/G4.0
Rank27
R/G3.0
RA/G4.3

Pitching

AJ Smith-Shawver (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-23.01.37

Andrew Heaney (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-33.181.109

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 2-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesATL: Bryce Elder • PIT: Bailey Falter-144
W 4-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach-188
L 4-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • ATL: Grant Holmes-115
W 1-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • ATL: Chris Sale-210
W 0-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Brady Singer • ATL: AJ Smith-Shawver-120
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • PIT: Bailey Falter+134
L 0-5 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Mitch Keller • STL: Sonny Gray+166
L 1-2 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Paul Skenes • STL: Matthew Liberatore-112
L 3-6 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • STL: Miles Mikolas+115
L 4-0 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Stephen Kolek • PIT: Andrew Heaney-102

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PSpencer Strider15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • CFTommy PhamQuestionable
  • PJohan Oviedo60-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • CEndy Rodriguez10-day IL
  • PDauri Moreta60-day IL
  • PJustin Lawrence60-day IL
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • -Tim Mayza60-day IL
  • SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa10-day IL
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
WNW 8 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°73°73°71°
Humidity33%34%36%40%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 8 mphW 8 mphW 7 mphW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-145-146-152-147-147-147-146-138.7
Pirates+131+136+127+133+137+133+137+138.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-141-155-154-150-158-150-150-138.7
Pirates+126+140+138+135+140+135+140+138.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -141 to -147
Pirates ML moved from +144 to +138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -145 to -154
No Steam Moves On Pirates ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+113-1½+112-1½+115-1½+117-1½+105-1½+117-1½+117-1½+125
Pirates+1½-133+1½-128+1½-135+1½-137+1½-125+1½-137+1½-125+1½-125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+120-1½+105-1½+104-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+125
Pirates+1½-140+1½-125+1½-124+1½-130+1½-125+1½-130+1½-124+1½-125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-103o9-105o9-102o9-105o9-102o9-102o9+107
Underu8½+100u9-113u9-115u9-118u9-115u9-118u9-113u9-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+107
Underu8½+100u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120