Blue Jays at Red Sox

Updated
Rank11
R/G3.9
RA/G4.4
53.5%46.5%
Blue Jays WinRed Sox Win
4.71Projected Runs 4.35
8Final Score 4
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
Rank11
R/G3.9
RA/G4.4
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Ross Stripling (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
135-33.031.076

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-110.132.375

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 4-1 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Alek Manoah • BOS: Kutter Crawford-165
W 28-5 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-115
W 2-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • TOR: Jose Berrios-310
W 5-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch • TOR: Max Castillo-290
W 1-8 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • TOR: Alek Manoah-300
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • BOS: Kutter Crawford+165
L 28-5 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi+108
L 2-13 at New York YankeesBOS: Chris Sale • NYY: Gerrit Cole+168
L 1-14 at New York YankeesBOS: Nick Pivetta • NYY: Jameson Taillon+150
W 5-4 at New York YankeesBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • NYY: Jordan Montgomery+150

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • CAlejandro KirkRest
  • SSSantiago EspinalRest
  • PYusei KikuchiUnknown
  • PTayler Saucedo60-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFEnrique Hernandez60-day IL
  • PMichael WachaUnknown
  • 3BRafael Devers10-day IL
  • PMatt StrahmUnknown
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • DHJ.D. MartinezQuestionable
  • 2BTrevor Story10-day IL
  • PTyler DanishUnknown
  • PJosh WinckowskiUnknown
  • PRich HillUnknown
  • PChris SaleUnknown
WSW 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)96°96°94°92°
Humidity39%37%36%41%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 9 mphSW 10 mphSW 14 mphSW 16 mph
Bill Miller
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-130-165-154-152-154-154-152-144.6
Red Sox+120+139+142+142+142+142+142+144.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-125-154-152-180-168-154-152-144.6
Red Sox+115+144+139+152+154+144+154+144.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -140 to -150
Red Sox ML moved from +137 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Red Sox: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -156 to -165
Red Sox ML moved from +146 to +137

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+115-1½-105-1½-107-1½-105-1½-107-1½-107-1½-105-1½+104
Red Sox+1½-135+1½-115+1½-113+1½-115+1½-113+1½-113+1½-113+1½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+115-1½-110-1½-106-1½-120-1½-115-1½-105-1½-106-1½+104
Red Sox+1½-135+1½-110+1½-112+1½+100+1½-105+1½-115+1½+100+1½-104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-120o10½-120o10½-114o10½-115o10½-114o10½-114o10½-114o10½-104
Underu10½+100u10½+100u10½-106u10½-105u10½-106u10½-106u10½+100u10½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11-105o10½-110o10½-115o10½-115o10½-125o10½-120o10½-110o10½-104
Underu11-115u10½-110u10½-105u10½-105u10½+105u10½+100u10½+105u10½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-110 to o10½-120
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-120 to o10½-130
The Under moved from u10½+110 to u10½-105