Cubs at Reds

Updated
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.4
32.8%67.2%
Cubs WinReds Win
3.39Projected Runs 5.16
5Final Score 14
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.4
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
12-12.951.091

Wade Miley (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
219-43.01.238

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 1-4 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Alec Mills • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+134
L 4-5 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Zach Davies • MIA: Zach Thompson+150
L 10-14 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Adbert Alzolay • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+108
L 17-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+200
L 10-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CHC: Jake Arrieta+233
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 7-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Sonny Gray • PHI: Aaron Nola+125
L 1-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Luis Castillo • PHI: Matt Moore-125
W 6-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PHI: Zack Wheeler+156
W 12-3 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • ATL: Kyle Muller+146
L 6-8 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Wade Miley • ATL: Touki Toussaint+113

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay10-day IL
  • PDillon Maples10-day IL
  • PKohl Stewart60-day IL
  • RFJason Heyward10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest
  • PBrad Brach10-day IL
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • PR.J. Alaniz10-day IL
  • PMichael Feliz60-day IL
ESE 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)79°77°75°73°
Humidity80%87%92%96%
Precipitation20%25%25%20%
ConditionHumid and OvercastHumid and OvercastPossible Light Rain and HumidHumid and Overcast
WindESE 4 mphESE 4 mphSE 4 mphSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+216-+180+176+174+176+180-
Reds-240--210-192-194-192-192-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+205+185+176-+181+181+185-
Reds-230-210-195--201-201-195-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +183 to +170
Reds ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +188 to +181
Reds ML moved from -220 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½+100-+1½+100+1½-107+1½-107+1½-107+1½+100-
Reds-1½-120--1½-120-1½-113-1½-113-1½-113-1½-113-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½+100+1½+100+1½-105-+1½+100+1½-105+1½+100-
Reds-1½-120-1½-120-1½-113--1½-120-1½-115-1½-113-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100-o9½-105o9-127o9-126o9-127o9-126-
Underu9½-120-u9½-115u9+107u9+106u9+107u9½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½+100o9-125-o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100-
Underu9-105u9½-120u9+105-u9½-120u9½-120u9+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
No Steam Moves On Under