Pirates at Cubs

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(33-29)
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
44.8%55.2%
Pirates WinCubs Win
4.98Projected Runs 5.52
6Final Score 7

Chicago Cubs

(32-30)
Rank6
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
Rank6
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Bubba Chandler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-13.121.73

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-12.531.22

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • CHC: Edward Cabrera+131
W 2-0 at Chicago CubsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • CHC: Shota Imanaga+138
L 8-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael King • PIT: Mitch Keller+111
W 1-7 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Nick Pivetta • PIT: Paul Skenes-134
L 5-0 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Germán Márquez • PIT: Bubba Chandler-135
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • CHC: Edward Cabrera-138
L 2-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • CHC: Shota Imanaga-147
W 6-2 at Tampa Bay RaysCHC: Colin Rea • TBR: Joe Boyle+100
W 9-2 at Tampa Bay RaysCHC: Javier Assad • TBR: Mason Englert+102
L 4-6 at Tampa Bay RaysCHC: Jameson Taillon • TBR: Shane McClanahan+112

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJared Jones60-day IL
  • SSJared Triolo10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PCade HortonOut for Season
  • -Shelby Miller60-day IL
  • PHunter Harvey15-day IL
  • PMatthew Boyd15-day IL
  • PJustin Steele60-day IL
  • -Porter Hodge15-day IL
  • PPhil Maton15-day IL
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
SSW 18 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)74°75°74°75°
Humidity54%53%54%52%
Precipitation0%6%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindSSW 18 mphSW 19 mphSW 17 mphSSW 16 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+122+121+112+115+119+115+121+120.3
Cubs-135-135-134-127-129-127-127-120.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+120+120+118+120+119+120+120+120.3
Cubs-130-130-131-135-133-130-130-120.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +121 to +115
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-145+1½-154+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-154+1½-148
Cubs-1½+125-1½+138-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-155+1½-154+1½-150+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150+1½-148
Cubs-1½+120-1½+135-1½+134-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo12½+100o12-112o12-115o12½-107o12½-110o12½-107o12-112o12½+103
Underu12½-120u12+100u12-105u12½-113u12½-110u12½-113u12½-110u12½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo13½-110o12½-105o12½-105o12½-105o12½-110o12½-110o12½-105o12½+103
Underu13½-110u12½-115u12½-115u12½-115u12½-110u12½-110u12½-110u12½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o12-110 to o12-115
The Under moved from u12+101 to u12-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o12½-105 to o12½-115
The Under moved from u12½-110 to u12½-115
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