Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
42.1%57.9%
Pirates WinCubs Win
3.46Projected Runs 4.29
3Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(47-53)
Rank23
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-33.931.327

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-11.611.107

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 0-1 at Chicago CubsPIT: Bailey Falter • CHC: Shota Imanaga+181
W 9-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Paul Skenes • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-111
W 5-4 at Chicago CubsPIT: Jared Jones • CHC: Justin Steele+116
L 2-10 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Martín Pérez • MIL: Robert Gasser+138
L 3-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Quinn Priester • MIL: Joe Ross+145
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CHC: Shota Imanaga-192
L 9-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+105
L 5-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • CHC: Justin Steele-120
W 7-1 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Javier Assad • ATL: Charlie Morton+167
L 0-7 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Jameson Taillon • ATL: Chris Sale+176

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKeegan Thompson15-day IL
  • 2BNico HoernerRest
  • -Daniel Palencia15-day IL
  • PColten Brewer15-day IL
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay15-day IL
  • SSDansby Swanson10-day IL
  • PYency Almonte15-day IL
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
NNE 10 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)71°72°71°70°
Humidity50%48%48%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearPartly Cloudy
WindNNE 10 mphNNE 9 mphNE 8 mphNE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+122+112+108+114+111+114+114+118.5
Cubs-133-122-130-124-121-124-121-118.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+108+114+112+116+111+119+119+118.5
Cubs-118-124-122-131-121-129-121-118.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +118 to +112
Cubs ML moved from -126 to -132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 50.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Cubs ML moved from -120 to -126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-195+1½-188+1½-195+1½-195+1½-200+1½-195+1½-188+1½-178
Cubs-1½+165-1½+167-1½+165-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-192+1½-190+1½-194+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-178
Cubs-1½+170-1½+170-1½+172-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+172-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8-108o8-105o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-109
Underu7½-105u8-108u8-115u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u8-108u7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-130o7½-115o7½-109
Underu7½-110u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½-105u7½+110u7½+110u7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8-118
The Under moved from u7½-113 to u7-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o7½-130
The Under moved from u7½+110 to u7½-105