Mets at Red Sox

Updated

New York Mets

(83-79)
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
55.8%44.2%
Mets WinRed Sox Win
4.65Projected Runs 4.04
0Final Score 2

Boston Red Sox

(89-73)
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Clay Holmes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-23.141.253

Walker Buehler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
64-14.281.218

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 1-3 at Boston Red SoxNYM: Kodai Senga • BOS: Hunter Dobbins-116
L 2-8 at New York YankeesNYM: David Peterson • NYY: Max Fried+159
W 3-2 at New York YankeesNYM: Griffin Canning • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+118
L 2-6 at New York YankeesNYM: Tylor Megill • NYY: Carlos Rodon+129
L 4-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • NYM: Clay Holmes-260
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 1-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Kodai Senga • BOS: Hunter Dobbins+114
L 10-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Schwellenbach • BOS: Brayan Bello+113
W 6-7 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Grant Holmes • BOS: Lucas Giolito-114
L 4-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • BOS: Garrett Crochet-109
L 5-6 at Detroit TigersBOS: Hunter Dobbins • DET: Tarik Skubal+210

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • 3BNick MadrigalOut for Season
  • PPaul Blackburn15-day IL
  • -Danny Young60-day IL
  • DHJesse Winker10-day IL
  • PDrew Smith60-day IL
  • CFJose Siri10-day IL
  • -Sean Manaea60-day IL
  • PFrankie Montas60-day IL
  • -A.J. MinterOut for Season

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PLiam Hendriks15-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
  • 1BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • PTanner Houck15-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • PChris Murphy60-day IL
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
  • 1BTriston CasasOut for Season
ENE 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)54°54°53°52°
Humidity72%74%75%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindENE 7 mphENE 7 mphENE 6 mphENE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-125-131-134-135-130-135-130-127.5
Red Sox+105+121+112+122+120+122+122+127.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-125-135-136-133-136-133-133-127.5
Red Sox+115+120+122+118+121+123+123+127.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -120 to -130
Red Sox ML moved from +126 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -125 to -132
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+130-1½+122-1½+125-1½+118-1½+120-1½+118-1½+125-1½+126
Red Sox+1½-160+1½-138+1½-145+1½-138+1½-140+1½-138+1½-138+1½-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+126
Red Sox+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-126

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o8½-113o8½-110o8½-112o8½-110o8½-112o8½-110o8½-102
Underu9-105u8½-103u8½-110u8½-108u8½-110u8½-108u8½-103u8½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-102
Underu9-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-110
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