Cubs at Marlins

Updated
Rank12
R/G3.0
RA/G4.0
51.3%48.7%
Cubs WinMarlins Win
3.88Projected Runs 3.74
4Final Score 3
Rank22
R/G5.0
RA/G6.0
Rank12
R/G3.0
RA/G4.0
Rank22
R/G5.0
RA/G6.0

Pitching

Marcus Stroman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
224-73.761.178

Jesus Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
153-73.751.09

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Adrian Sampson • MIA: Pablo Lopez+152
L 3-10 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Wade Miley • MIA: Edward Cabrera+128
L 4-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Ryan Feltner • CHC: Javier Assad-115
L 3-1 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Jose Urena • CHC: Hayden Wesneski-130
W 1-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • CHC: Marcus Stroman-120
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • MIA: Pablo Lopez-159
W 3-10 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Wade Miley • MIA: Edward Cabrera-136
W 3-1 at Washington NationalsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • WSN: Anibal Sanchez-160
L 3-5 at Washington NationalsMIA: Trevor Rogers • WSN: Erick Fedde-121
L 4-5 at Washington NationalsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • WSN: Josiah Gray-123

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 1BAlfonso RivasRest
  • PKyle HendricksOut for Season
  • -Steven BraultUnknown
  • RFSeiya SuzukiUnknown
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • PJustin SteeleUnknown
  • PDrew SmylyOut
  • SSNico HoernerUnknown
  • LFRafael OrtegaOut for Season
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PTommy NanceUnknown
  • PTrevor RogersOut for Season
  • RFAvisail Garcia10-day IL
  • 3BJoey WendleRest
  • CJacob StallingsRest
NE 4 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°79°80°81°
Humidity84%87%85%82%
Precipitation26%18%19%20%
ConditionPossible Light Rain and HumidHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindNE 4 mphNE 4 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 9 mph
Chris Conroy
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100+101-105+101+101+101+101+105.7
Marlins-120-109-115-111-111-111-109-105.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+105+100+101+102+102+104+104+105.7
Marlins-115-110-111-112-112-114-110-105.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -101
Marlins ML moved from -116 to -122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +101 to -101
No Steam Moves On Marlins ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-230+1½-221+1½-225+1½-222+1½-222+1½-222+1½-221+1½-192
Marlins-1½+190-1½+189-1½+185-1½+192-1½+192-1½+192-1½+192-1½+192
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-216+1½-220+1½-223+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-192
Marlins-1½+190-1½+190-1½+195-1½+190-1½+190-1½+195-1½+195-1½+192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-120o6½-118o6½-120o6½-125o6½-125o6½-125o6½-118o6½-109
Underu6½+100u6½+102u6½+100u6½+105u6½+105u6½+105u6½+105u6½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-120o6½-125o6½-120o6½-120o6½-120o6½-120o6½-109
Underu6½-110u6½+100u6½+105u6½+100u6½+100u6½+100u6½+105u6½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-110 to o6½-125
No Steam Moves On Under