Twins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank26
R/G4.2
RA/G4.8
48.7%51.3%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
3.70Projected Runs 3.83
1Final Score 7
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank26
R/G4.2
RA/G4.8
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Joe Ryan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-23.180.912

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-03.271.455

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Ben Lively-117
L 2-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Pablo Lopez • CLE: Luis Ortiz+102
L 1-2 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Chris Paddack • CLE: Tanner Bibee+118
W 11-1 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Gavin Williams+115
W 0-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Soriano • MIN: Joe Ryan-170
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-4 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TOR: Jose Berrios-108
L 6-7 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Lucas Giolito • TOR: Yariel Rodríguez-103
W 10-2 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Lucas Giolito • TOR: Bowden Francis-130
W 13-3 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Brayan Bello • CLE: Logan Allen-110
W 7-3 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Walker Buehler • CLE: Doug Nikhazy-111

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PBrock Stewart15-day IL
  • LFWilli Castro10-day IL
  • RFMatt Wallner10-day IL
  • 2BLuke Keaschall10-day IL
  • Royce Lewis10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PLiam Hendriks15-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford15-day IL
  • PZach Penrod60-day IL
  • PChris Murphy60-day IL
  • PWalker Buehler15-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
  • CConnor WongIn Lineup
  • 2BKristian CampbellRest
SSE 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)70°69°67°65°
Humidity62%67%72%76%
Precipitation11%25%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 7 mphS 7 mphS 7 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+109+106+101+107+104+107+107+112.0
Red Sox-120-116-121-118-114-118-114-112.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+104+100+106+103+106+106+106+112.0
Red Sox-116-115-118-118-116-116-115-112.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -101
Red Sox ML moved from +103 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -102
Red Sox ML moved from -110 to -116

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-200-1½+162+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-174
Red Sox-1½+174+1½-183-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-195+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-200+1½-190+1½-190+1½-174
Red Sox-1½+170-1½+175-1½+165-1½+170-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+105o9-103o9-105o9-107o9+100o9-107o9+100o9+103
Underu9-125u9-113u9-115u9-113u9-120u9-113u9-113u9-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+103
Underu9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under