Phillies at Marlins

Updated

Philadelphia Phillies

(32-29)
Rank5
R/G3.9
RA/G4.3
45.3%54.7%
Phillies WinMarlins Win
4.08Projected Runs 4.58
1Final Score 0

Miami Marlins

(29-34)
Rank18
R/G4.2
RA/G4.5
Rank5
R/G3.9
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.2
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-36.031.56

Janson Junk (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-23.01.06

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 7-2 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Jesús Luzardo • MIA: Chris Paddack-132
L 0-4 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Andrew Painter • MIA: Max Meyer+118
W 6-5 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIA: Eury Pérez-110
W 5-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Adrian Houser • PHI: Tim Mayza-145
W 2-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-148
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 7-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jesús Luzardo • MIA: Chris Paddack+125
W 0-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Andrew Painter • MIA: Max Meyer-126
L 6-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIA: Eury Pérez+103
W 3-2 at Los Angeles DodgersMIA: Sandy Alcantara • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+221
W 2-1 at Los Angeles DodgersMIA: Janson Junk • LAD: Shohei Ohtani+245

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PJhoan Duran15-day IL
  • PZach Pop15-day IL
  • PKyle Backhus15-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • RFOwen CaissieIn Lineup
  • PPete Fairbanks15-day IL
  • RFGriffin Conine10-day IL
LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-110+102-104+102-103+102+102+106.7
Marlins+100-111-116-112-107-112-107-106.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-110-103+100-105+103-108+103+106.7
Marlins+100-107-112-110-113-102-102-106.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +100 to -102
Marlins ML moved from -103 to -109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Marlins: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -101 to -108
Marlins ML moved from -101 to -107

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+140-1½+160+1½-220-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+163
Marlins+1½-165+1½-182-1½+180+1½-177+1½-175+1½-177+1½-163
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+140-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+145-1½+155-1½+163
Marlins+1½-160+1½-175+1½-180+1½-170+1½-180+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-104o8½-110o8½-112o8½-110o8½-112o8½-104o8½-102
Underu8½-120u8½-109u8½-110u8½-108u8½-110u8½-108u8½-108u8½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-102
Underu8½-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+101 to u9-137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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