Yankees at Red Sox

Updated
Rank2
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
57.9%42.1%
Yankees WinRed Sox Win
5.02Projected Runs 4.19
5Final Score 3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank2
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2916-53.021.102

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2511-63.121.212

Last 5 Games

New York Yankees
Money Line
W 4-1 at Boston Red SoxNYY: Luis Gil • BOS: Lucas Giolito-112
W 3-9 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tyler Holton • NYY: Cam Schlittler-160
L 11-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jack Flaherty • NYY: Carlos Rodon-165
L 12-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • NYY: Will Warren-155
W 3-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Max Scherzer • NYY: Max Fried-174
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-1 vs New York YankeesNYY: Luis Gil • BOS: Lucas Giolito+105
L 4-5 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Payton Tolle • OAK: Mason Barnett-108
W 6-0 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Connelly Early • OAK: Jeffrey Springs+108
W 7-0 at Oakland AthleticsBOS: Garrett Crochet • OAK: Luis Morales-148
W 7-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Brayan Bello • ARI: Ryne Nelson+101

Injuries

New York Yankees

Status
  • PJonathan Loaisiga15-day IL
  • -Brent Headrick15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PDustin May15-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
  • 2BMarcelo MayerOut for Season
  • 1BRomy GonzalezIn Lineup
  • RFWilyer Abreu10-day IL
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
SSW 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°75°73°70°
Humidity51%53%59%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 7 mphSSW 7 mphS 8 mphSSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Yankees-127-148-159-150-147-150-147-141.6
Red Sox+115+138+133+136+137+136+138+141.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Yankees-130-150-150-149-148-144-144-141.6
Red Sox+116+135+135+134+131+132+135+141.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Yankees: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Yankees: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Yankees: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Yankees: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Yankees ML moved from -148 to -155
Red Sox ML moved from +124 to +116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Yankees: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Yankees: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Yankees: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Yankees: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Yankees ML moved from -130 to -142
Red Sox ML moved from +141 to +132

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Yankees-1½+120-1½+107-1½+105-1½+106-1½+110-1½+106-1½+110-1½+115
Red Sox+1½-140+1½-123+1½-125+1½-126+1½-130+1½-126+1½-123+1½-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Yankees-1½+120-1½+110-1½+107-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115
Red Sox+1½-140+1½-130+1½-127+1½-125+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9+102o9-105o8½-125o9-105o8½-125o9+102o8½-114
Underu8½-115u9-118u9-115u8½+105u9-115u8½+105u9-115u8½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-115o8½-125o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-114
Underu8½-115u8½-105u8½+105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+105u8½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o9+100
The Under moved from u8½-102 to u8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
No Steam Moves On Under