Rays at Red Sox

Updated

Tampa Bay Rays

(39-32)
Rank10
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
53.4%46.6%
Rays WinRed Sox Win
4.61Projected Runs 4.26
1Final Score 3

Boston Red Sox

(37-36)
Rank16
R/G4.8
RA/G4.5
Rank10
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
Rank16
R/G4.8
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Ryan Pepiot (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-53.21.132

Lucas Giolito (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-16.421.634

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
W 10-8 at Boston Red SoxTBR: Shane Baz • BOS: Brayan Bello-108
W 2-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Anthony Veneziano • TBR: Drew Rasmussen-220
L 11-10 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Ryan Weathers • TBR: Taj Bradley-150
W 3-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • TBR: Zack Littell-136
W 3-4 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jack Leiter • TBR: Ryan Pepiot-131
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 10-8 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane Baz • BOS: Brayan Bello-101
W 11-7 at New York YankeesBOS: Hunter Dobbins • NYY: Carlos Rodon+215
W 10-7 at New York YankeesBOS: Garrett Crochet • NYY: Ryan Yarbrough-104
L 6-9 at New York YankeesBOS: Walker Buehler • NYY: Will Warren+173
W 9-11 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Soriano • BOS: Lucas Giolito-126

Injuries

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • PHunter Bigge15-day IL
  • LFRichie Palacios10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PNick Burdi15-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • PTanner Houck15-day IL
  • PLiam Hendriks15-day IL
  • RFWilyer Abreu10-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • 3BAlex Bregman10-day IL
  • -Justin Slaten15-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida60-day IL
  • 1BTriston CasasOut
ENE 2 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
From RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)60°60°60°61°
Humidity90%90%91%92%
Precipitation8%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindENE 2 mphSSE 2 mphSW 2 mphSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays-109+100-104+107+101+107+107+112.0
Red Sox-101-110-116-118-111-118-110-112.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays-102-105+105-111+100+101+105+112.0
Red Sox-108-110-117-104-110-111-104-112.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rays: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rays: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rays ML moved from +100 to -102
Red Sox ML moved from -112 to -118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rays: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rays: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rays ML moved from -108 to -114
Red Sox ML moved from -108 to -118

Run Lines

 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays-1½+138-1½+157+1½-220+1½-190-1½+150+1½-190+1½-174
Red Sox+1½-158+1½-178-1½+180-1½+165+1½-170-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays+1½-200-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150+1½-210-1½+150+1½-174
Red Sox-1½+165+1½-170+1½-180+1½-170-1½+180+1½-170-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-103o8½-125o9-107o9-105o9-107o8½-125o9+103
Underu9+100u9-113u8½+105u9-113u9-115u9-113u9-113u9-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-110o9-105o9-105o9+103
Underu9+100u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-130 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115
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