Red Sox at Twins

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
38.4%61.6%
Red Sox WinTwins Win
5.11Projected Runs 6.32
4Final Score 2
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Martin Perez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-05.41.4

J.A. Happ (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-02.251.5

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 14-9 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Nick Pivetta • BAL: Jorge Lopez-138
W 6-4 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Garrett Richards • BAL: Bruce Zimmerman-125
W 7-3 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • BAL: Matt Harvey-148
W 2-9 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Yarbrough • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-110
W 5-6 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BOS: Martin Perez+150
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 8-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • MIN: Matt Shoemaker-180
L 4-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Yusei Kikuchi • MIN: Michael Pineda-185
W 2-10 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • MIN: Jose Berrios-200
W 3-2 at Detroit TigersMIN: Kenta Maeda • DET: Matthew Boyd-174
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersMIN: J.A. Happ • DET: Casey Mize-140

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PRyan Brasier10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • DHNelson CruzUnknown
  • LFBrent Rooker10-day IL
  • 3BJosh Donaldson10-day IL
  • PEdwar Colina60-day IL
W 12 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
UnknownHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)35°36°37°38°
Humidity71%68%67%66%
Precipitation11%12%9%8%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindW 12 mphSW 12 mphNW 13 mphW 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+124+110+107+113+113+113+113-
Twins-137-121-127-123-123-123-121-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+135+115+114+117+110+112+117-
Twins-145-125-124-127-120-122-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +120 to +113
Twins ML moved from -130 to -137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +122 to +115
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-161+1½-185+1½-180+1½-181+1½-181+1½-181+1½-180-
Twins-1½+140-1½+160-1½+160-1½+161-1½+161-1½+161-1½+161-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-155+1½-170+1½-177+1½-170+1½-170+1½-180+1½-170-
Twins-1½+135-1½+150-1½+157-1½+150-1½+150-1½+160-1½+160-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-116o8½-125o9-105o9-102o9-102o9-102o8½-125-
Underu8-104u8½+105u9-115u9-118u9-118u9-118u9-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9+100o9+100-
Underu9½-105u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-120u9-110-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120