Reds at Phillies

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.3
RA/G5.0
44.6%55.4%
Reds WinPhillies Win
4.21Projected Runs 4.77
4Final Score 1
Rank5
R/G3.9
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.3
RA/G5.0
Rank5
R/G3.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Chase Burns (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-11.871.0

Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-35.071.33

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 4-5 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Nick Lodolo • PHI: Andrew Painter+110
L 3-10 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Brady Singer • CLE: Gavin Williams+140
L 4-7 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Chris Paddack • CLE: Joey Cantillo+133
W 7-6 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Andrew Abbott • CLE: Tanner Bibee+124
W 1-15 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Foster Griffin • CIN: Chase Burns-148
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • PHI: Andrew Painter-116
W 6-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Zack Wheeler • PIT: Paul Skenes+115
W 6-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • PIT: Bubba Chandler-160
W 11-9 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Aaron Nola • PIT: Braxton Ashcraft+121
W 3-1 at Boston Red SoxPHI: Jesús Luzardo • BOS: Ranger Suarez+110

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL
  • PRhett Lowder15-day IL
  • CJose Trevino10-day IL
  • PBrandon Williamson60-day IL
  • PHunter Greene60-day IL
  • 3BEugenio Suarez10-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • DHKyle SchwarberRest
  • PKyle Backhus15-day IL
WSW 12 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)95°91°87°83°
Humidity38%44%55%58%
Precipitation40%45%50%40%
ConditionMostly ClearThunderstormsThunderstormsMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 12 mphSW 10 mphW 11 mphWSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+127+129+124+122+123+122+129+127.5
Phillies-140-145-148-135-133-135-133-127.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+120+124+120+121+122+122+124+127.5
Phillies-135-134-134-136-137-134-134-127.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 50.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Phillies ML moved from -139 to -148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +128 to +120
Phillies ML moved from -135 to -142

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-171+1½-164+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-164+1½-161
Phillies-1½+150-1½+149-1½+145-1½+153-1½+150-1½+153-1½+153-1½+161
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-165+1½-170+1½-180+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-161
Phillies-1½+145-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+161

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-102o8½-105o8½-106o8½-115o8½-106o8½-102o8½+104
Underu9-120u8½-110u8½-115u8½-114u8½-105u8½-114u8½-105u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½+104
Underu8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-115u8½-110u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-104 to u8½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115