Red Sox at Braves

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
39.3%60.7%
Red Sox WinBraves Win
3.45Projected Runs 4.56
2Final Score 4
Rank3
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
Rank19
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank3
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-11.561.066

Reynaldo López (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-11.51.0

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 9-2 at Minnesota TwinsBOS: Cooper Criswell • MIN: Joe Ryan+166
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsBOS: Brennan Bernardino • MIN: Pablo López+158
L 2-5 at Minnesota TwinsBOS: Tanner Houck • MIN: Chris Paddack+111
L 3-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Kyle Harrison • BOS: Josh Winckowski-115
W 2-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Erik Miller • BOS: Kutter Crawford-150
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 1-5 at Los Angeles DodgersATL: Max Fried • LAD: James Paxton-146
L 2-11 at Los Angeles DodgersATL: Bryce Elder • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+179
L 3-4 at Los Angeles DodgersATL: Charlie Morton • LAD: Gavin Stone+102
W 5-2 at Seattle MarinersATL: Chris Sale • SEA: Emerson Hancock-175
L 2-3 at Seattle MarinersATL: Reynaldo López • SEA: Luis Castillo-120

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PNick PivettaUnknown
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
  • PBrayan Bello15-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
  • 2BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • 1BTriston Casas60-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell15-day IL
  • PChris MurphyOut for Season

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PSpencer StriderOut for Season
  • PPierce Johnson15-day IL
SW 8 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°81°78°77°
Humidity57%62%67%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSW 8 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 5 mphSSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+155+165+158+164+169+164+169+169.4
Braves-169-179-193-179-179-179-179-169.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+151+165+166+170+170+160+170+169.4
Braves-165-180-183-185-187-175-175-169.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +173 to +167
Braves ML moved from -181 to -188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Braves ML moved from -172 to -185

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-145+1½-128+1½-130+1½-131+1½-130+1½-131+1½-128+1½-120
Braves-1½+125-1½+112-1½+110-1½+111-1½+110-1½+111-1½+112-1½+120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-140+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-135+1½-125+1½-120
Braves-1½+120-1½+110-1½+112-1½+110-1½+105-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-113o8½-110o8½-112o8½-115o8½-112o8½-110o8½-102
Underu9-120u8½-103u8½-110u8½-108u8½-105u8½-108u8½-103u8½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9+110o8½-115o9+105o9+110o9+110o9+110o8½-102
Underu9-115u9-130u8½-105u9-125u9-130u9-130u9-125u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110