Tampa Bay at Baltimore

Updated
64.1%
Projected Runs: 5.99
Final Score: 3

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-25.141.357
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 2-1 at Baltimore OriolesTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BAL: Alex Cobb-190
W 6-10 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Bruce Zimmermann • TBR: Trevor Richards-172
W 3-1 at Baltimore OriolesTBR: Blake Snell • BAL: Dean Kremer-180
L 4-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Austin Voth • TBR: Pete Fairbanks-178
W 1-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Anibal Sanchez • TBR: John Curtiss-170

Injuries

Status
  • PCody Reed60-day IL
  • 3BYandy Diaz10-day IL
  • CFAustin Meadows10-day IL
  • 1BJi-Man Choi10-day IL
  • PChaz RoeOut for Season
  • PJalen BeeksOut for Season
  • CMike Zunino10-day IL
35.9%
Projected Runs: 4.51
Final Score: 1

Jorge Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-05.231.258
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BAL: Alex Cobb+185
L 6-10 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Bruce Zimmermann • TBR: Trevor Richards+161
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Blake Snell • BAL: Dean Kremer+168
W 1-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Cole Hamels • BAL: Keegan Akin+165
L 5-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Huascar Ynoa • BAL: Thomas Eshelman+160

Injuries

Status
  • 1BChris DavisOut for Season
  • RFAnthony SantanderOut for Season
  • PWade LeBlanc60-day IL
  • PShawn Armstrong10-day IL
NE 7 mph
Camden Yards, Baltimore
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)60°58°57°56°
Humidity47%50%52%52%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNE 7 mphNE 7 mphNNE 6 mphNNE 6 mph
Dan Iassogna
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Very Strong Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay-175-178-190-179-190-179-178
Baltimore+161+168+165+165+170+165+170
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay-162-175-180-180-185-174-174
Baltimore+152+160+163+165+165+162+165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Baltimore: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Baltimore: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -182 to -190
Baltimore ML moved from +155 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Baltimore: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Baltimore: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Baltimore: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -172 to -180
No Steam Moves On Baltimore ML

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay-1½-115-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120
Baltimore+1½-105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay-1½-110-1½-115-1½-115-1½-115-1½-120-1½-120-1½-115
Baltimore+1½-110+1½-105+1½-103+1½-105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo9-115o8-115o8½+105o8½+100o8-115o8½+100o8½+105
Underu9-105u8-105u8½-125u8½-120u8-105u8½-120u8½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo9-105o8½-105o8½-107o8½-110o8½-110o8-120o8-120
Underu9-115u8½-115u8½-113u8½-110u8½-110u8+100u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120