Reds at Cubs

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(14-11)
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
41.1%58.9%
Reds WinCubs Win
3.42Projected Runs 4.35
2Final Score 10

Chicago Cubs

(16-9)
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
101-77.611.796

Zach Davies (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-24.961.721

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 0-1 at Chicago CubsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • CHC: Adbert Alzolay+168
W 3-0 at Washington NationalsCIN: Sonny Gray • WSN: Stephen Strasburg+117
L 3-5 at Washington NationalsCIN: Jeff Hoffman • WSN: Joe Ross+130
W 2-1 at Washington NationalsCIN: Tyler Mahle • WSN: Max Scherzer+186
L 9-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Luis Castillo+108
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • CHC: Adbert Alzolay-177
W 5-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Tyler Anderson-136
W 4-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Trevor Williams • PIT: Wil Crowe-122
W 4-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Jake Arrieta • PIT: Cody Ponce-130
W 2-1 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Zach Davies • STL: Adam Wainwright+120

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • 2BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PJeff Hoffman10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PTrevor Megill10-day IL
  • RFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • 3BMatt Duffy10-day IL
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
  • 1BAnthony RizzoQuestionable
  • PAlec Mills10-day IL
  • PJustin Steele10-day IL
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
NNE 14 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterHigh on Under
 
Temp (°F)56°57°58°59°
Humidity41%39%38%38%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 14 mphNNE 14 mphNNE 14 mphNNE 14 mph
Dan Bellino
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+105-101-105+100+100+100+100-
Cubs-115-109-115-110-110-110-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+105+103-104+105+105-101+105-
Cubs-115-113-106-115-115-109-106-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +101 to -101
Cubs ML moved from -114 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 40.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +102 to -104
Cubs ML moved from -118 to -124

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-220+1½-230+1½-225+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220+1½-220-
Cubs-1½+190-1½+192-1½+185-1½+190-1½+190-1½+190-1½+192-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-220+1½-220+1½-230+1½-230+1½-220+1½-230+1½-220-
Cubs-1½+192-1½+190-1½+200-1½+200-1½+180-1½+200-1½+200-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o7-104o7-105o7-103o7-103o7-103o7-103-
Underu6½-110u7-116u7-115u7-117u7-117u7-117u7-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o7-105o7+105o7-105o7-105o7-105o7+105-
Underu6-105u7-115u7-125u7-115u7-115u7-115u7-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-115 to o6½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-120 to o7-105
The Under moved from u7-110 to u7-125
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