Tigers at Reds

Updated
Rank17
R/G4.0
RA/G3.8
40.4%59.6%
Tigers WinReds Win
4.43Projected Runs 5.44
4Final Score 1
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank17
R/G4.0
RA/G3.8
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Casey Mize (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
257-73.591.153

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
287-144.31.376

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
L 4-7 at Cincinnati RedsDET: Matthew Boyd • CIN: Tyler Mahle+175
W 15-5 at Cincinnati RedsDET: Tyler Alexander • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+162
L 8-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Frankie Montas • DET: Matt Manning+192
W 6-8 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: James Kaprielian • DET: Wily Peralta+166
L 9-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Cole Irvin • DET: Tarik Skubal+102
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-7 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • CIN: Tyler Mahle-188
L 15-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tyler Alexander • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-172
W 2-12 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: J.A. Happ • CIN: Sonny Gray-164
L 5-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CIN: Wade Miley-121
L 3-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jon Lester • CIN: Luis Castillo-205

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • DHMiguel CabreraRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMichael Feliz60-day IL
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone10-day IL
  • PBrad Brach10-day IL
NNW 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°76°77°78°
Humidity80%76%70%64%
Precipitation11%6%3%2%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastMostly Cloudy
WindNNW 6 mphNNW 6 mphNW 8 mphNW 8 mph
Dan Iassogna
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+188+195+203+205+194+203+205-
Reds-205-230-224-225-224-224-224-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+185+195+198+200+210+190+210-
Reds-205-230-220-220-235-210-210-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +211 to +203
Reds ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +205 to +190
Reds ML moved from -205 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-110+1½-105+1½-107+1½-105+1½-107+1½-107+1½-105-
Reds-1½-110-1½-115-1½-113-1½-115-1½-113-1½-113-1½-113-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-110+1½+100+1½-112+1½-100+1½-105+1½-110+1½-100-
Reds-1½-110-1½-120-1½-106-1½-120-1½-115-1½-110-1½-106-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9+100o9+100o8½-120o9+100o9+100o8½-120-
Underu9-115u9-120u9-120u8½+100u9-120u9-120u9-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9+100o9-112o9+105o8½-120o9-105o9+105-
Underu9-115u9-120u9-108u9-125u8½+100u9-115u9-108-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-120 to u9-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-102 to o9-112
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-118