Marlins at Mets

Updated
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
41.0%59.0%
Marlins WinMets Win
3.31Projected Runs 4.24
5Final Score 2
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
165-42.971.074

Chris Bassitt (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
156-54.011.149

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 0-10 at New York MetsMIA: Daniel Castano • NYM: Trevor Williams+155
L 5-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Shohei Ohtani • MIA: Trevor Rogers+148
W 1-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Noah Syndergaard • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-145
W 3-2 at Washington NationalsMIA: Braxton Garrett • WSN: Patrick Corbin+105
W 7-4 at Washington NationalsMIA: Pablo Lopez • WSN: Erick Fedde-122
New York Mets
Money Line
W 0-10 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Daniel Castano • NYM: Trevor Williams-165
W 8-3 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: David Peterson • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-156
L 0-1 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: Max Scherzer • CIN: Nick Lodolo-210
W 7-4 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: Taijuan Walker • CIN: Hunter Greene-157
W 1-4 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jon Gray • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-128

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PLouis HeadUnknown
  • PJesus Luzardo60-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • PEdward CabreraUnknown
  • LFJorge Soler10-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • PTylor Megill60-day IL
  • PChris BassittNamed Starter
S 8 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°73°74°76°
Humidity81%84%80%76%
Precipitation31%39%28%6%
ConditionRainRainRainOvercast
WindS 8 mphSSE 8 mphS 7 mphS 6 mph
Phil Cuzzi
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+150+134+150+148+148+150+150+154.3
Mets-160-160-163-158-163-163-158-154.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+142+146+142+140+140+146+146+154.3
Mets-155-156-156-165-153-156-153-154.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Mets ML moved from -156 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Mets ML moved from -153 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-149
Mets-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-155+1½-160+1½-163+1½-155+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-149
Mets-1½+135-1½+140-1½+144-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+144-1½+149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7-120o7-124o7-120o7-124o7-124o7-120o7-109
Underu7½-110u7+100u7+104u7+100u7+104u7+104u7+104u7+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-120o7½+110o7-120o7½+100o7-120o7½+110o7-109
Underu7½-105u7+100u7½-130u7+100u7½-120u7+100u7½-120u7+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-112 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+110 to o7-120
The Under moved from u7½-130 to u7-130