Mets at Braves

Updated

New York Mets

(12-11)
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
51.2%48.8%
Mets WinBraves Win
3.62Projected Runs 3.49
2Final Score 4

Atlanta Braves

(16-6)
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.1
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Max Scherzer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2211-42.130.881

Kyle Wright (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2920-53.181.146

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 2-5 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Jacob deGrom • ATL: Max Fried-111
W 4-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • NYM: Taijuan Walker-180
L 6-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-200
W 13-4 at Oakland AthleticsNYM: Max Scherzer • OAK: JP Sears-291
L 4-10 at Oakland AthleticsNYM: Jacob deGrom • OAK: Ken Waldichuk-370
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 2-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • ATL: Max Fried+110
L 2-3 at Washington NationalsATL: Jake Odorizzi • WSN: Josiah Gray-197
W 8-2 at Washington NationalsATL: Kyle Muller • WSN: Paolo Espino-204
W 8-0 at Washington NationalsATL: Bryce Elder • WSN: Cory Abbott-240
W 8-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Charlie Morton • PHI: Kyle Gibson-135

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PJacob deGromQuestionable
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • -Bryce Montes de OcaUnknown
  • CJames McCannRest
  • PMychal Givens10-day IL
  • PTommy HunterUnknown
  • DHDarin Ruf10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • RFRobbie GrossmanRest
  • PMike SorokaUnknown
  • PHuascar Ynoa60-day IL
  • PKirby YatesUnknown
  • PSpencer StriderUnknown
  • 2BOzzie Albies10-day IL
NNE 10 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)70°67°65°63°
Humidity56%61%68%71%
Precipitation5%6%6%6%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 10 mphNNE 9 mphN 11 mphN 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-120-117-120-118-115-116-115-107.7
Braves+110+108+100+108+105+106+108+107.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-120-113-112-115-115-118-112-107.7
Braves+110+103+102+105+105+108+108+107.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Mets ML
Braves ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -112 to -118
Braves ML moved from +110 to +103

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+145-1½+152-1½+150-1½+151-1½+147-1½+151-1½+152-1½+153
Braves+1½-170+1½-168+1½-175+1½-171+1½-167+1½-171+1½-167+1½-153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+153
Braves+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o7½-108o7½-105o7½-111o7½-111o7½-111o7½-105o7½+100
Underu6½-110u7½-108u7½-115u7½-109u7½-109u7½-109u7½-108u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-125o7-130o7-124o7-125o7-120o7-125o7-120o7½+100
Underu6+105u7+110u7+104u7+105u7+100u7+105u7+110u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-115

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7+105 to u7-105
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