Pirates at Nationals

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G4.4
57.3%42.7%
Pirates WinNationals Win
4.80Projected Runs 4.02
3Final Score 5
Rank25
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G4.4
Rank25
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-06.351.588

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 8-4 at Washington NationalsPIT: Marco Gonzales • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-103
W 9-7 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Bailey Falter • MIA: Trevor Rogers+134
W 9-3 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Jared Jones • MIA: Ryan Weathers+100
W 7-2 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Martín Pérez • MIA: A.J. Puk+136
W 6-5 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Jesús Luzardo+114
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 8-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Marco Gonzales • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-103
L 5-6 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Jake Irvin • CIN: Nick Martinez+157
W 7-6 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CIN: Hunter Greene+166
L 2-8 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Josiah Gray • CIN: Frankie Montas+142
W 10-9 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Jackson Rutledge • ATL: Dylan Dodd+195

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CJason Delay10-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • 2BJi-Hwan Bae10-day IL
  • CYasmani Grandal10-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PCade Cavalli60-day IL
  • 3BNick SenzelOut
  • CFStone Garrett10-day IL
  • PStephen Strasburg60-day IL
NW 7 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)55°54°53°52°
Humidity92%90%87%78%
Precipitation34%0%0%0%
ConditionRainMostly CloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNW 7 mphNW 8 mphNW 10 mphNW 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-135-144-159-147-144-147-144-139.9
Nationals+124+134+133+135+134+135+135+139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-147-150-148-145-141-146-141-139.9
Nationals+135+140+135+130+130+133+140+139.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from -145 to -153
Nationals ML moved from +139 to +129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from -140 to -146
Nationals ML moved from +137 to +130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-1½+110-1½+112-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+112-1½+114
Nationals+1½-130+1½-128+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-1½+110-1½+110-1½+107-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+114
Nationals+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+105o8½-108o8½-110o8½-107o8½-105o8½-107o8½-105o8½+103
Underu9-125u8½-108u8½-110u8½-113u8½-115u8½-113u8½-108u8½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-105o8½-103o8½-105o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+103
Underu9-120u8½-115u8½-117u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-115u8½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-103 to o9-103
The Under moved from u9-113 to u8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-115