Nationals at Astros

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
36.2%63.8%
Nationals WinAstros Win
3.33Projected Runs 4.78
2Final Score 1
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Brad Lord (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-53.391.261

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2011-42.671.125

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 7-2 at Minnesota TwinsWSN: Jake Irvin • MIN: Cole Sands+150
W 9-3 at Minnesota TwinsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIN: Joe Ryan+217
L 0-1 at Minnesota TwinsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • MIN: Zebby Matthews+145
L 5-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • WSN: Michael Soroka+112
W 1-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Chase Burns • WSN: Brad Lord+130
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: J.T. Ginn • HOU: Colton Gordon-136
L 5-1 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Jacob Lopez • HOU: Hunter Brown-172
L 15-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Jeffrey Springs • HOU: Ryan Gusto-120
L 5-2 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Luis Severino • HOU: Jason Alexander-135
W 4-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksHOU: Brandon Walter • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt+125

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CFJacob YoungIn Lineup

Houston Astros

Status
  • PLance McCullers Jr15-day IL
  • 3BIsaac Paredes10-day IL
  • CFJake Meyers10-day IL
  • LFJacob MeltonIn Lineup
  • SSJeremy Pena10-day IL
SE 7 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)91°88°85°83°
Humidity62%66%74%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSE 7 mphSSE 8 mphS 6 mphS 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+197+215+205+214+220+214+220+221.6
Astros-220-237-250-240-240-240-237-221.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+195+220+212+220+205+200+220+221.6
Astros-220-260-240-260-240-230-230-221.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +223 to +215
Astros ML moved from -251 to -261

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +208 to +200
Astros ML moved from -225 to -240

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-110+1½+102+1½+100+1½-102+1½+100+1½-102+1½+102+1½+107
Astros-1½-110-1½-118-1½-120-1½-118-1½-120-1½-118-1½-118-1½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-1½-110+1½+110+1½-108+1½+110+1½+110+1½+100+1½+110+1½+107
Astros+1½-110-1½-130-1½-112-1½-130-1½-130-1½-120-1½-112-1½-107

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-118o7-130o7-122o7-125o7-122o7-118o7-111
Underu7½-105u7+102u7+110u7+102u7+105u7+102u7+110u7+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-120o7-120o7½-110o7½+110o7-120o7½+110o7-111
Underu7½-105u7+100u7+100u7½-110u7½-130u7+100u7½-110u7+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125